Mike Leake Pitching Report

Mike Leake

MIKE LEAKE

  • 41.2 IP/37 H/12 R/11 ER/9 BB/30 SO
  • BAA .228/ERA 2.38/WHIP 1.10
  • GRADE: 80.67% (B)
  • RATES: 21.76% H/7.06% R/5.29% BB/17.65% SO
  • PER 9: 7.99 H/2.59 R/1.94 BB/6.48 SO

GOOD

  • Pitched no more than 6 innings a start in May
  • Each start was a Quality Start (6+ IP, 0-3 ER)
  • No more than 2 walks in the month of May
  • R Rate in is declining
  • SO Rate is rising
  • HR Rate is declining
  • SO/9 is rising
  • HR/9 is rising

BAD

  • Not enough run support in his winless starts
  • Only 1 win in the month of May

Revisiting May Goals

  • Pitch 6 to 7 innings per start. Leake pitched a high of 8 innings on April 9th at St. Louis
  1. Each start had 6 or more innings
  2. 3 starts with 7 or more innings
  3. 2 starts with 8 innings
  • Try to allow no more than 5 hits per start. Leake did allow less than 5 times 3 times in the month of April
  1. Only allowed less than 5 hits in one start
  • Allowing runs is a normal thing to do as a pitcher, but 3 or less is good for Leake. Leake allowed 3 or less in back to back starts against St. Louis and Pittsburgh on April 9th and 15th.
  1. Allowed 4 runs in one start, one unearned run in that equates to 3 earned runs
  2. 1 run in 2 starts
  3. 2 runs in 3 starts
  • Leake has been very good at allowing no walks. The goal is to allow no more than 1 walk per game, he has done it twice in back to back starts against St. Louis and Pittsburgh on April 9th and 15th.
  1. Allowed one walk in 3 starts
  2. Allowed two walks in 3 starts
  • One thing Leake has to work on is getting strikeouts. The goal is 4 per start. He has thrown more than 4 strikeouts in a start, which was on April 15th against the Pirates.
  1. GOAL ACHIEVED
  2. 4 strikeouts in 3 starts
  3. 5 strikeouts in 2 starts
  4. 8 strikeouts in 1 start

Leake’s goals for the month of June.

  • 6.2 IP-7.2 IP
  1. 6 times this season in that range.
  2. 2 times in the month of May in that range
  • 2-5 H
  1. 4 times this season in that range
  2. 2 times in the month of May in that range
  • 0-2 R
  1. 6 times this season in that range
  2. 5 times in the month of May in that range
  • 0-1 BB
  1. 7 times this season in that range
  2. 3 times in the month of May in that range
  • 5-8 SO
  1. 4 times this season in that range
  2. 3 times in the month of May in that range
  • 0 HR?
  1. Currently on a 6 game streak; 198+ batters
  2. No home runs allowed in the month of May

LINE CHARTS

LEAKE'S BAA

  • At the end of April, Leake’s BAA was at .221
  • At the end of May, Leake’s BAA was at .225
  • Leake had one decline and it occurred on May 13th
  • Leake’s BAA went up .003, a 1.81% ▲

LEAKE'S ERA

  • Leake’s ERA at the end of April was at 3.82
  • ERA at the end of May was at 3.04
  • Leake had one decline in ERA and in 4 consecutive starts
  • Leake’s ERA went down 0.78, a 20.42% ▲

LEAKE'S WHIP

  • Leake’s WHIP at at the end of April was 1.02
  • WHIP at the end of May was 1.06
  • Leake had one decline, but two rises in WHIP
  • Leake’s WHIP went up 0.04, a 3.92% ▲

LEAKE'S RATES

  • Leake’s H Rate at April was at 21.58%, it went up to 21.68% in May, a .46% ▲
  • Leake’s R Rate at April was 10.79%, it went down 8.74% in May, a 19% ▲
  • Leake’s BB Rate at April was at 4.32%, it went up to 4.85% in May, a 12.27% ▲
  • Leake’s SO Rate at April was at 14.39%, it went up to 16.18%, a 12.44% ▲
  • Leake’s HR Rate at April was at 4.32%, it went down to 1.94%, a 55.09% ▲

LEAKE'S LOCATION SPLITS


Game 53 (Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks)

ARIZONA-CINCINNATIIt’s a reunion game for both starting Pitchers in tonight’s game. Arizona’s Bronson Arroyo is pitching against his former team of 8 years in tonight’s game. Cincinnati’s Mike Leake was a pitcher for the Arizona State Sun Devils in his college days.

Bronson Arroyo’s 8 year career at Cincinnati

  • 105-94 W-L
  • 4.05 ERA
  • 265 GAMES STARTED
  • 14 COMPLETE GAMES
  • 1690 1/3 INNINGS
  • 105 ERA+
  • 4.60 FIP
  • 1.268 WHIP
  • 9.1 H/9
  • 1.3 HR/9
  • 2.3 BB/9
  • 5.9 SO/9
  • 2.57 SO/W

Mike LeakeLEAKE’S LAST 7

  • 49.2 IP/47 H/16 R/15 ER/9 BB/32 SO/4 HR
  • BAA .240/ERA 2.72/WHIP 1.13
  • GRADE: 85.76% (B)
  • RATES: 23.38% H/7.96% R/4.48% BB/15.92% SO/1.99% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 6 H/2 R/BB/4 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 8.52 H/2.90 R/1.63 BB/5.80 SO/0.72 HR

LEAKE VS. ARIZONA

  • 31 IP/34 H/21 R/6 BB/16 SO/6 HR
  • BAA .268/ERA 6.10/WHIP 1.29
  • GRADE: 72.64% (C)
  • RATES: 25.56% H/15.79% R/4.51% BB/12.03% SO/4.51% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 7 H/4 R/BB/3 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 9.87 H/6.10 R/1.74 BB/4.65 SO/1.74 HR

LEAKE AT CHASE FIELD

  • 12.2 IP/13 H/8 R/3 BB/5 SO/2 HR
  • BAA .255/ERA 5.68/WHIP 1.26
  • GRADE: 74.27% (C)
  • RATES: 23.64% H/14.55% R5.45% BB/9.09% SO/3.64% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 6 H/4 R/BB/2 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 9.24 H/5.68 R/2.13 BB/3.55 SO/1.42 HR

Bronson Arroyo

ARROYO’S LAST 7

  • 48 IP/45 H/15 R/14 ER/9 BB/28 SO/3 HR
  • BAA .238/ERA 2.63/WHIP 1.25
  • GRADE: 86.11% (B)
  • RATES: 23.56% H/7.85% R/4.71% BB/14.66% SO/1.57% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 6 H/2 R/BB/4 SO
  • PER 9: 8.44 H/2.81 R/1.69 BB/5.25 SO/0.56 HR

ARROYO VS. CINCINNATI

  • 12 IP/10 H/R/5 BB/12 SO
  • BAA .217/ERA 0.75/WHIP 1.25
  • GRADE: 92.59% (A)
  • RATES: 5.24% H/0.52% R/10.42% BB/6.28% SO
  • FIRST 27 RATE: H/3 BB/2 SO
  • PER 9: 7.50 H/0.75 R/3.75 BB/9.00 SO

ARROYO AT CHASE FIELD

  • 75 IP/73 H/29 R/28 ER/11 BB/37 SO/7 HR
  • BAA .245/ERA 3.36/WHIP 1.12
  • GRADE: 83.41% (B)
  • RATES: 27.24% H/10.82% R/4.10% BB/13.81% SO/2.61% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 7 H/3 R/BB/4 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 8.76 H/3.48 R/1.32 BB/4.44 SO/0.84 HR

LEAKE-ARROYO

PREDICTION AT MINIMUM

MIKE LEAKE: 6.1 IP/7 H/3 R/2 BB/4 SO/HR

BRONSON ARROYO: 6.2 IP/6 H/3 R/2 BB/4 SO/HR

Game 1 Box Score

Game 2 Preview

CHASE FIELD

Tony Cingrani Pitching Report

Tony CingraniTONY CINGRANI

  • 17 IP/21 H/11 R10 ER/8 BB/14 SO/5 HR
  • BAA .292/ERA 5.29/WHIP 1.71
  • GRADE: 61.11% (D)
  • RATES: 27.27% H/14.29% R/10.39% BB/18.18% SO/6.49% HR
  • PER 9: 11.12 H/5.82 R/4.24 BB/7.41 SO/2.65

GOOD

  • 7 Strikeouts in May 17th game

BAD

  • Too many hits, 7 7 7, JACKPOT
  • Allowed to many runs in start, no support comes in and can’t keep deficit low

Revisiting May Goals

  • Pitch well in the month of May and you might stay in the bullpen. Cingrani is on thin ice right now with Alfredo Simon surging in the starting role with Mat Latos out. Most are going with Simon heading back to the bullpen, but Bryan Price has no indication of who goes back. Price should focus on amount of innings each starter gets and how many runs allowed. Starting pitching is getting the money’s worth versus bullpen, Simon is an Arbitration player versus Cingrani, who is still in Pre-Arbitration. Overall, got to get more innings out of Cingrani to stay in rotation.

 

  • Cingrani’s Quartile range is 4.25-6.25 IP, Cingrani has had two starts in that range. Cingrani has been less than 4.25 in 2 starts and higher than 6.25 in 2 starts. Got to get at least 6.1 IP/start.
  1. Had 6 innings in 2 starts
  • Cingrani has done a very good job of allowing no hits, did allow no more than 5 in his first 4 starts. Cingrani has allowed 6 in the last two starts. If Cingrani keeps up with that and manages to hold runners from scoring, then he’ll likely stay on the rotation. 3-6 is the goal per start.
  1. Cingrani carried away, Failed
  2. Allowed 6 or more hits in 2 starts
  • Cingrani has been known to hold those runners on base and has allowed no more than 3 in the 2014 season. A reasonable goal for Cingrani is to allow no more than 1-3 per start.
  1. Cingrani carried away, Failed
  2. Allowed 3 or more in each start
  • Another thing that Cingrani can do is not allow a lot are walks, typically walk 2 to 4 batters per start. Cingrani has not been lower than 2 or or higher than 4 in April.
  1. Has been in that range in May, 3 walks in 2 May Starts
  2. 2 walks on May 29th
  • One thing that was really missed in 2 of his last 3 starts were strikeouts.
  1. Had 7 strikeouts on May 18th
  • KEEP IT UP: No Home run balls, he has allowed 1 home run in 3 of his last 4 starts, but that can change quickly and not allow a home run ball. He did not allow a home run against the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates in the month of April, but allowed 2 home runs to the Chicago Cubs.
  1. Cingrani carried away, Failed
  2. Allowed back to back home runs in May 18th start, had 3 home runs that start
  3. Home Run in each start

CINGRANI’S GOAL FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE

  • 4.2-6 IP/start.
  1. Need more if he wants to stay in the rotation with Mat Latos returning
  2. Has been in that range for last 4 starts?
  • 0-3 H/start.
  1. 0-3 hits occurred in first two starts against the St. Louis Cardinals
  2. Cingrani ranges 4-6 hits/start. Has been in that range in 4 of 9 starts
  3. Allowed more than 6 hits in last two starts?
  • 0-2 R/start
  1. Only allowed 0-2 runs in 3 of 9 starts
  2. Ranges 2-3 runs/start. Occurred in 4 of 9 starts
  • 0-2 BB/start
  1. Allowed exactly 2 walks/start in 3 of 9 starts
  2. Ranges 2-3 BB
  • 4-9 SO/start
  1. Thrown 4-9 strikeouts/start in 6 of 9 starts
  2. Less than 4 strikeouts in 2 starts
  • 0 Home runs?
  1. Allowed no home runs in 3 of 9 starts
  2. 1 or more home runs in 5 of 9 starts

LINE CHARTSCINGRANI'S BAA

  • Before his DL stint, Cingrani had a .223 BAA
  • Cingrani’s BAA at the end of May is at .241
  • Cingrani BAA went up .018, a 8.07% ▲
  • Cingrani’s BAA had no decline

CINGRANI'S ERA

  • In April, Cingrani’s ERA was at 3.76
  • Cingrani’s ERA at the end of May was at 4.01
  • The ERA went up 0.25, a 6.65% ▲
  • Cingrani’s ERA is now on the decline

CINGRANI'S WHIP

  • Cingrani’s WHIP in April was 1.38
  • WHIP in May at 1.46
  • WHIP went up 0.08, a 5.80% ▲
  • Cingrani’s WHIP is going up

CINGRANI'S RATES

  • Cingrani’s H Rate went up 1.82% in the month of May, a 9% ▲
  • Cingrani’s R Rate went up 0.98% in the month of May, a 10% ▲
  • Cingrani’s BB Rate went down 0.53% in the month of May, a 4.3% ▲
  • Cingrani’s SO Rate went down 2.33% in the month of May, a 9.74% ▲
  • Cingrani’s HR Rate went up .08% in the month of May, a 2.17% ▲

CINGRANI'S LOCATION SPLITS

Game 52 (Cincinnati Reds vs Arizona Diamondbacks)

ARIZONA-CINCINNATITwo teams that are bound to be heading in the right direction. The Reds have been treading water for the past two months and were sinking on a 4 game skid, but bounced back to salvage a game in Los Angeles on this 2 series 7 game road trip. The Diamondbacks, however, started this 2014 season rough and were down quickly, they’ve improved significantly and come in to today game with a 22-33 record, went 14-11 in last 25 games.

PROBABLES

TONY CINGRANI VS JOSH COLLMENTER

MIKE LEAKE VS BRONSON ARROYO

JOHNNY CUETO VS BRANDON McCARTHY

ALFREDO SIMON VS WADE MILEY


Tony CingraniCINGRANI’S LAST 7

  • 37.1 IP/38 H/20 R/21 BB/34 SO/7 HR
  • BAA .253/ERA 4.82/WHIP 1.58
  • GRADE: 76.29% (C)
  • RATES: 22.89% H/12.05% R/12.65% BB/20.48% SO/4.22% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 6 H/3 R/3 BB/6 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 9.16 H/4.82 R/5.06 BB/8.20 SO/1.69 HR

CINGRANI VS. ARIZONA

  • 3.2 IP/2 H/R/BB/SO/HR
  • BAA .154/ERA 2.45/WHIP 0.82
  • RATES: 15.38% H/7.69% R/7.69% BB/7.69% SO/7.69% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 4 H/2 R/2 BB/2 SO/2 HR
  • PER 9: 4.91 H/2.45 R/2.45 BB/2.45 SO/2.45 HR

CINGRANI AT CHASE FIELD

  • DEBUT AT CHASE FIELD

Josh CollmenterCOLLMENTER’S LAST 7

  • 41 IP/38 H/22 R/18 ER/9 BB/25 SO/8 HR
  • BAA .236/ERA 3.95/WHIP 1.15
  • GRADE: 81.12% (B)
  • RATES: 22.62% H/13.10% R/5.36% BB/14.88% SO/4.76% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 6 H/4 R/BB/4 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 8.34 H/4.83 R/1.98 BB/5.49 SO/1.76 HR

COLLMENTER VS. CINCINNATI

  • 6.2 IP/7 H/R/BB/8 SO
  • BAA .259/ERA 1.35/WHIP 1.20
  • GRADE: 90.56% (A)
  • RATES: 4.17% H/0.60% R/1.82% BB/4.76% SO
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 1 H/1 SO
  • PER 9: 9.45 H/1.35 R/1.35 BB/10.80 SO

COLLMENTER AT CHASE FIELD

  • 221 IP/187 H/89 R/85 ER/45 BB/167 SO/45 HR
  • BAA .220/ERA 3.46/WHIP 1.05
  • GRADE: 83.29% (B)
  • RATES: 21.32% H/10.15% R/5.13% BB/19.04% SO/5.13% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 6 H/3 R/BB/5 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 7.62 H/3.62 R/1.72 BB/5.57 SO/1.62 HR

CINGRANI-COLLMENTER

PREDICTION AT MINIMUM

TONY CINGRANI: 7.2 IP/4 H/2 R/3 BB/6 SO/HR

JOSH COLLMENTER: 7 IP/5 H/R/2 BB/6 SO

Cincinnati-Arizona Series Preview

CHASE FIELD

 

Homer Bailey Pitching Report

Homer BaileyHOMER BAILEY

  • 31 IP/32 H/16 R/12 BB/21 SO/2 HR
  • BAA .256/ERA 4.65/WHIP 1.42
  • GRADE: 77.54% (C)
  • RATES: 24.06% H/12.03% R/9.02% BB/15.79% SO/1.50% HR
  • PER 9: 9.28 H/4.65 R/3.48 BB/6.10 SO/0.58

GOOD

  • BAA below .200 in 2 starts in May, both against National League West teams
  • 5 Quality starts in the Month of May
  • Allowing 1 or none walks in 2 starts
  • Struck out 4 or more batters per start in 5 starts. Did it in last 2 May 2 starts.
  • Allowed no home runs in 3 of 6 starts in May. Only had one game in April with no HR.

BAD

  • One bad game on May 17th against the Philadelphia Phillies, pitched 3 2/3 innings
  • Too many H/9 in May. 3 starts with 9.00 or more

Revisiting May Goals

  • Need more innings from Bailey, 6 or more is good. Bailey has hit that in the last two starts of April, so that can be good news…for now.
  1. 6 or more innings occurred in 5 May Starts
  2. 6 or less happened once on May 17th
  • Bailey gets hit off of a lot, in a baseball way. Bailey allows 7-8 hits per game, got to cut down on that factor. He has allowed 7 or more hits in each start to start the season.
  1. Less than 7 hits in 4 May starts
  2. More than 7 hits in 2 May starts
  • Bailey typically allows 3-4 runs per start. Bailey has allowed 4 or less runs in 3 of 5 starts. If Bailey allows less than 4 per start, he will gain his confidence once again.
  1. Less than 4 in 5 May starts
  2. More than 4 in 1 May Start (May 17th)
  • One thing that Bailey has done and it is good is not allowing walks, he has allowed no walks in 2 of 5 starts.
  1. Carried away for Homer Bailey, Failed.
  2. Walked one batter in 2 May starts
  3. Walked two batters in 3 May starts
  4. Walked more than two batters in one May start (May 17th)
  • Strikeouts, 8 per start is a goal, but 4-8 is good enough in a start. Bailey has struck out more than 4 batters in 4 starts.
  1. 4 or more strikeouts in 5 May Starts
  2. 6 strikeouts was the high in May, occurred in 2 starts
  3. Less than 4 strikeouts in one May start (May 17th)
  • Home runs, that April 14th game was an OUTLIER. That game is not typical of Homer Bailey, but he usually allows 1 home run. Obvious to go 0 home runs per start and has done it once. Bailey has given up a home run in 3 of 5 starts.
  1. No home runs in 3 starts
  2. Only allowed one home run in 3 starts

Bailey’s goals for the month of June.

  • Bailey is trending in the right direction and has made it a natural cause.
  • Pitch 5-6.2 IP, 5 of 6 starts in May had more than 5 innings. Had 6.2 or more in 3 starts.
  • Allow no more than 4-6 hits/start. Only 2 starts in that range. 1 start at 4, 3 starts at 6 or more
  • No more than 3 runs. In the 0-3 range in 5 of 6 starts in May.
  • Try to keep the walk/start down, usually 1-3. Had 1-3 in 5 May starts.
  • Need more strikeouts/start, usually 4-6. 4-6 in 5 May starts
  • No home runs? Did in 3 May starts.

LINE CHARTS

BAILEY'S BAA

  • At the end of April, Bailey had a BAA of .331
  • At the end of May, a BAA of .283
  • Two noticeable declines occurred in May, 3 straight starts on May 1st, 6th, 11th and May 28th
  • Bailey faced two National League West teams that hit .173
  • Bailey’s BAA went down .048, a 14.50% ▲

BAILEY'S ERA

  • At the end of April, Bailey had an ERA of 6.15
  • At the end of May, an ERA of 5.04
  • Two declines occurred in May, 3 straight starts on May 1st, 6th, 11th and May 23rd & 28th
  • Bailey faced two National League West teams that had an 1.88 ERA, all runs earned
  • Bailey’s ERA went down 1.15, a 18.04% ▲

BAILEY'S WHIP

  • At the end of April, Bailey had a 1.78 WHIP
  • At the end of May, a 1.51 WHIP
  • Three declines occured in May, only one time on May 1st, 11th and 28th
  • Bailey faced two National League West teams that had a 0.84 WHIP
  • Bailey’s WHIP went down 0.27, a 15.17% ▲

BAILEY'S RATES

  • At the end of April, Bailey’s H Rate was at 31.97%, now at 26.95%, a 15.70% ▲
  • The R rate was at 14.75% in April, now it’s at 12.77, a 13.42% ▲
  • The BB Rate was at 6.56% in April, now it’s at 7.45%, a  13.57% ▲
  • The SO Rate was at 23.77% in April, now at 19.86%, a 16.45% ▲
  • The HR Rate was at 5.74% in April, now at 3.55%, a 38.15% ▲

BAILEY'S MONTH-BY-MONTH

  • All Categories above saw a decline (BAA, ERA, WHIP)
  • BAA went down from .331 to .256, a 22.66% ▲
  • ERA went down from 6.15 to 4.65, a 24.39% ▲
  • WHIP went down from 1.78 to 1.42, a 20.22% ▲

BAILEY'S LOCATION SPLITS

Alfredo Simon Pitching Report

Alfredo Simon
ALFREDO SIMON

  • 28.1 IP/28 H/14 R/7 BB/16 SO/7 HR
  • BAA .248/ERA 4.45/WHIP 1.24
  • GRADE: 78.95% (C)
  • RATES: 23.73% H/11.86% R/5.93% BB/13.56% SO/5.93% HR
  • PER 9: 8.89 H/4.45 R/2.22 BB/5.08 SO/2.23 HR

GOOD

  • Allowing no runs in his May 16th start against the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • Not many walks. Allow 0-1 walks in 4 of 5 May starts.
  • Keep the BA below .200. Occurred in first 3 of 4 starts in May.
  • WHIP was below 1.00 in first 3 of 4 May Starts

BAD

  • Two very bad games. May 10th and May 27th against NL West opponents. Innings pitched below 4. All other games had 7 or more innings
  • 8 hits against the Colorado Rockies on May 10th, outlier (which is 6+)
  • 4 walks against the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 27th, outlier (3.50)
  • 3 Home runs against the Colorado Rockies on May 10th, outlier (2.50). Thin air in Cincinnati?

Revisiting May goals.

  • Keep pitching like this and the bullpen won’t be calling for you. Simon and Cingrani are competing for the 5th spot in the rotation with the return of Mat Latos sometime in the month of May. Simon has two factors into play, he eats a lot of innings up and doesn’t allow a lot of runs in his start, only 7 runs in 5 starts

 

  • Keep pitching up to 6 innings, can pitch up to 8 innings. Simon has pitched more than 6 innings in each start.
  1. Pitched more than 6 innings in 3 starts, all of them at 7 or more innings
  2. Pitched less than 6 innings in 2 starts, both of them less than 4 innings
  • Allowing 4-5 hits is reasonable for a starter, keep it up. Simon has allowed 4 hits in 3 of 5 starts.
  1. Had allowed only 5 hits in 4 May starts
  2. More than 5 in one May start (May 10th)
  • Allowing runs is something a pitcher does not want to do, but 1-2 should be it. Simon has allowed no more than 2 runs in all of his starts in 2014.
  1. Carried away for Alfredo Simon, Failed.
  2. Only 2 May starts with 2 or less runs allowed
  3. Had 2 May starts that allowed exactly 5 runs
  • Simon in one game allowed 5 walks, which is an outlier to his season. Simon will typically was 1-2 batters in a game and if that pace keeps going
  1. Did indeed walked 1-2 batters in 4 May starts, the first 4 May starts
  • One thing he hasn’t really done is striking batters out. The goal for Simon is to strikeouts 4-5 batters, but he has hit that mark of 4 or more batters 4 out of 5 times so far this season.
  1. Struggled in this category, not even one start had 4-5
  2. Striked out 6 or more batters in 2 May starts
  3. No strikeouts in 2 May starts
  • One thing I do like about Alfredo Simon this season is keeping the ball in the park. Simon has given the long ball shot twice, but only allows it once. Simon doing an excellent job on that.
  1. Simon got carried away, Failed.
  2. No home runs in the May 16th start
  3. Allowed 1 home run in 2 May starts
  4. 2 or more home runs in 2 May starts

SIMON’s goals for the month of June.

  • Two bad starts with less than 4 innings of work is outlier. Don’t let that be a factor. A good start from Alfredo Simon would pitch 6-7 innings/start.
  • Simon usually allow 4-5 hits/start. Has not been lower than 4. Got to have more of those starts instead of the May 10th start.
  • Runs allowed will happen, but no more than 3 in a start. Simon has typically allowed 1-3 runs/start. Has allowed 1-3 runs in 7 starts, no runs in his May 16th start.
  • Walks, no more than 2 in a start. Has allowed more than 2 walks in 4 starts and only had one start in May with more than 2 walks. Less than 2 walks in 6 starts this season.
  • Strikeouts, need more than 2 and have up to 6. Had 2-6 strikeouts in 7 starts.
  • No home runs? 7 home runs in the month of May, 9 overall. His only start without giving a home run was on May 16th.

LINE CHARTS

SIMON'S BAA

  • At the end of April, Alfredo Simon had a BAA of .179
  • By the end of May, Alfredo Simon has a BAA of .212
  • Simon has faced 2 National League East teams, had a BAA of .185
  • Simon has faced 2 National League West teams, had a BAA of .394
  • Simon’s BAA went up .033, which is a 18.44% ▲

SIMON'S RATES

  • At the End of April, Simon had a H Rate of 16.42%. As of today, 19.84% H, a 20.82% ▲
  • Simon’s R Rate in April was at 5.22%. As of today, 8.33%, a 59.58% ▲
  • Simon’s BB Rate in April was 8.21%. As of today, 7.14%, a 13.03% ▲
  • Simon’s SO Rate in April was 16.42% SO. As of today, 15.08%, a 8.16% 2▲
  • Simon’s HR Rate in April was 1.49%. As of today, 3.57%, a 139.60% ▲

SIMON'S ERA

  • Entering the Month of May, Simon had an ERA of 1.60
  • By the end of May, Simon’s ERA is at 2.90
  • Simon’s ERA ↑ against the Milwaukee Brewers, Colorado Rockies and Los Angeles Dodgers
  • Simon’s ERA ↓ against the Philadelphia Phillies and Washington Nationals
  • The ERA ↑ was up to 1.30, a 81.25% ▲

SIMON'S MONTH-BY-MONTH

  • All categories saw a rise (BAA, ERA, WHIP)
  • BAA went from .179 to .248, a 0.069 ↑ 38.55%▲
  • ERA went up from 1.60 to 4.45, 2.85↑ 178.13% ▲
  • WHIP went up from 0.98 to 1.24, 0.26↑ 26.53%▲

SIMON'S LOCATION SPLITS

 

Game 49 (Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers)

CINCINNATI-LOS ANGELESIt’s the same old song and dance for these two. The Cincinnati Reds and Los Angeles Dodgers are starting off there 2014 seasons in struggles, but can easily bounce back to be playoff contenders. The Dodgers were at one time 10 games behind in the West last season and managed to come back and win the West. The Reds are currently treading water in the central, but can still contend in the Central. Reds start a 7 game road trip, while the Dodgers return from an East Coast trip and face the Pittsburgh Pirates following this series.

PROBABLES

JOHNNY CUETO VS HYUN-JIN RYU

ALFREDO SIMON VS ZACK GREINKE

HOMER BAILEY VS CLAYTON KERSHAW


Johnny CuetoCUETO’S LAST 7

  • 56.1 IP/26 H/13 R/11 ER/10 BB/59 SO/4 HR
  • BAA .133/ERA 1.76/WHIP 0.64
  • GRADE: 91.12% (A)
  • RATES: 12.68% H/6.34% R/4.88% BB/28.78% SO/1.95% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 3 H/2 R/BB/8 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 4.15 H/2.08 R/1.60 BB/9.43 SO/0.64 HR

CUETO VS. LOS ANGELES DODGERS

  • 36 IP/34 H/17 R/14 ER/11 BB/21 SO/5 HR
  • BAA .239/ERA 3.50/WHIP 1.25
  • GRADE: 82.41% (B)
  • RATES: 22.97% H/11.49% R/7.43% BB/14.19% SO/3.38% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 6 H/3 R/2 BB/4 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 8.50 H/4.25 R/2.75 BB/5.25 SO/1.25 HR

CUETO AT DODGER STADIUM

  • 22 IP/24 H/13 R/10 ER/7 BB/16 SO/4 HR
  • BAA .267/ERA 4.09/WHIP 1.41
  • GRADE: 79.63% (C)
  • RATES: 25.00% H/13.54% R/7.29% BB/16.67% SO/4.17% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 7 H/4 R/2 BB/5 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 9.82 H/5.32 R/2.86 BB/6.55 SO/1.64 HR

Hyun-Jin RyuRYU’S LAST 7

  • 40 IP/44 H/18 R/15 ER/11 BB/35 SO/2 HR
  • BAA .268/ERA 3.38/WHIP 1.38
  • GRADE: 82.41% (B)
  • RATES: 25.43% H/10.40% R/6.36% BB/20.23% SO/1.16% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 7 H/3 R/2 BB/5 SO
  • PER 9: 9.90 H/4.05 R/2.48 BB/7.88 SO/0.45 HR

RYU VS. CINCINNATI

  • 7 IP/2 H/R/BB/9 SO/HR
  • BAA .087/ERA 1.29/WHIP 0.43
  • GRADE: 93.65% (A)
  • RATES: 8.33% H/4.17% R/4.17% BB/37.50% SO/4.17% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 2 H/R/BB/10 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 2.57 H/1.29 R/1.29 BB/11.57 SO/1.29 HR

RYU AT DODGER STADIUM

  • 110 IP/119 H/43 R38 ER/26 BB/87 SO/9 HR
  • BAA .265/ERA 3.11/WHIP 1.32
  • GRADE: 83.60% (B)
  • RATES: 25.76% H/9.31% R/5.63% BB/18.83% SO/1.95% HR
  • FIRST 27 RATE: 7 H/3 R/2 BB/5 SO/HR
  • PER 9: 9.74 H/3.52 R/2.13 BB/7.12 SO/0.74 HR

CUETO-RYU

PREDICTION AT MINIMUM

JOHNNY CUETO: 7.2 IP/5 H/3 R/2 BB/5 SO/HR

HYUN-JIN RYU: 7.2 IP/5 H/2 R/BB/7 SO/HR

SOURCE: BASEBALL-REFERENCE

Game 1 Preview

Dodger Stadium