World Series Game 3 (St. Louis v Boston)

RedSox-Cardinals

Luck, the word that defined the St. Louis Cardinals night on Thursday. In the scoring situations the Cardinals presented on Thursday, Red Sox were expose by the explosiveness of what the Cardinals are good at, the Runners-in-Scoring-Position. Cardinals were only 1-3 in the Runners in Scoring position that night.

The Scoring Plays:

St. Louis Cardinals score first in the 4th inning to make it 1-0 with a Molina ground out to second, Matt Holliday scores from third. Holliday had a triple before Molina’s at-bat. I won’t call that situation luck, because Fenway Park is big and Holliday has decent speed for his age, no luck there, Holliday’s ball to Centerfield in Busch Stadium would be a double.

Boston Red Sox managed to score once in this game, it came off of Michael Wacha, who has given only 1 ER in the entire postseason. Wacha got Victorino on a ground out to third, but walked Dustin Pedroia, then Big Papi came in. David Ortiz did what was at the time a momentum changer, hitting a homerun to the Green Monster to make it 2-1. The sixth inning would end with a Mike Napoli strike out and Jonny Gomes ground out. Wacha walks to the dugout trailing and frustrated (FOX showed the frustration).

Now here is the Cardinals luck I mentioned. John Lackey came in for a 7th inning. Lackey got Allen Craig to strike out, the worse for Red Sox were to come. David Freese walked and Jon Jay hits a single for two baserunners. John Farrell went to the bullpen, Craig Breslow. Breslow did not allow an earned run in the postseason. The top of the lineup was Breslow’s goal, get two outs and end the inning. Daniel Descalso started the cause, Breslow walked him. Now Matt Carpenter was up, he has a beauty of an OBP of .392, but not as good as the two punch Choo-Votto for the Cincinnati Reds. Carpenter hits a SAC fly to left, Gomes tried to throw out the tying run, Saltalamacchia could not catch it, but Breslow was right behind Salty. Most usual baseball plays would end with that, but Breslow was going to be a hero and get Jon Jay, Breslow overthrew Xander Bogaerts, Jon Jay scored. The score at the time was 3-2, Breslow could of saved a run, dumb defense by Breslow. Next batter would be Carlos Beltrán, who was doubtful to play Game 2, hit a single to right to score Desclaso.

The final score was 4-2, but if Breslow did not throw to Bogaerts, it would of been a different outcome. Luck was on the Cardinals side for Game 2, I give Holliday partial luck for getting to third base, it is not easy to do a 3 bag hit in the MLB.

Revisit Game 2 Starting Pitchers.

Michael Wacha

Wacha keeps impressing us all in the postseason. Is it considered luck that the compensation pick from Albert Pujols would be this guy?

Game 2 numbers.

  • 6 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 6 SO & HR
  • BAA .143, ERA 3.00 & WHIP 1.17
  • Per 9 numbers: 4.5 H, 6 BB, 9 K, 1.5 HR. K/BB is 1.50.
  • GRADE: 76.85% (C)
  • Rates: 12.50% H, 8.33% R, 16.67% BB, 25% K, 4.17% HR

Wacha’s Game 2 Prediction: 6 IP, 3 H, BB, 8 K

CARDINALS POSTSEASON REPORT CARD

ADAM WAINWRIGHT: 89.58% (B) (NLDS)/80.95% (B) (LCS)/ 62.22% (D) (WS)

LANCE LYNN: 29.49% (F) (NLDS)/78.03% (C) (LCS)

JOE KELLY: 71.88% (C) (NLDS)/65.15% (D) (LCS)

MICHAEL WACHA: 90.91% (A) (NLDS)/96.34% (A) (LCS)/76.85% (C) (WS)

BULLPEN: 80.81% (B) (NLDS)/88.01% (B) (LCS)/80.56% (D) (WS)

John Lackey

Lackey had a good game as well as he made his return to the World Series, but the the inherited runners that Breslow allowed to score end up being a waste of an outing for Lackey.

Game 2 numbers.

  • 6.1 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO
  • BAA .208, ERA 4.26 & WHIP 1.11
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.11 H, 2.84 BB, 8.53 K. K/BB is 3.00
  • GRADE: 70.18% (C)
  • Rates: 19.23% H, 11.54% R, 7.69% BB, 23.08% K

Lackey’s Game 2 Prediction: 6 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 8 K

RED SOX POSTSEASON REPORT CARD:

JON LESTER: 82.61% (B) (ALDS)/79.05% (C) (LCS)/95.65% (A) (WS)

JOHN LACKEY: 52.08% (F) (ALDS)/96.67% (A) (LCS)/70.18% (C) (WS)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ: 65.74% (D) (ALDS)/59.90% (F) (LCS)

JAKE PEAVY: 86.27% (B) (ALDS)/-31.48% (F) (LCS)

BULLPEN: 86.36% (B) (ALDS)/ 92.69% (A) (LCS)/68.06% (F) (WS)

Jake Peavy

Jake Peavy, a trade deadline pickup, will be making his first start in the World Series. Peavy has been in the postseason as a San Diego Padre and a Red Sox.

Peavy will be making his fourth start at Busch Stadium in his career, has pitched at the Old Busch as well. The Busch numbers.

  • 20 IP, 15 H, 5 ER, 4 BB, 18 SO & 5 HR
  • BAA .200, ERA 2.25 & WHIP 0.95
  • Per 9 numbers: 6.75 H, 1.8 BB, 8.10 K, 2.25 HR. K/BB is 4.5
  • GRADE: 82.22% (B)
  • Rates: 18.99% H, 6.33% R, 5.06% BB, 22.78% K, 6.33% HR

Peavy’s Postseason Numbers.

  • 8.2 IP, 10 H, 8 ER, 3 BB & 4 SO
  • BAA .278, ERA 8.31 & WHIP 1.50
  • Per 9 numbers: 10.38 H, 3.12 BB, 4.15 K. K/BB is 1.33
  • GRADE: 45.51% (F)
  • Rates: 27.03% H, 21.62% R, 8.11% BB, 10.81% K

Joe Kelly

Joe Kelly, will be making his debut in the World Series tonight.

Kelly’s 2013 Postseason numbers.

  • 11.1 IP, 18 H, 9 R (8 ER), 6 BB, 13 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .346, ERA 6.35 & WHIP 2.12
  • Per 9 numbers: 14.29 H, 4.76 BB, 10.32 K, 1.59 HR. K/BB is 2.17
  • GRADE: 52.94% (F)
  • Rates: 25% H, 12.50% R, 8.33% BB, 18.06% K, 2.78% HR

——————

Which pitcher has the EDGE in tonight’s game?

  • Jake Peavy: Walks, Homeruns
  • Joe Kelly: Hits, Runs, Strikeouts

Peavy, who is 32 years, old, has more baseball playing days ahead of him. The current commitment he has with the Red Sox is $29 for 2013 and 2014. In 2015, he has a unique player option. They’re 2 options on the option, 400 IP in 2013 and 2014, including 190 in 2014 or is not on the disabled list at the end of the 2014 season. Peavy threw 144.2 innings in 2013 and throwing 255.1 innings (has thrown 5.2 innings in 2013 Postseason) is going to be a long haul. The best option for Peavy is to not be on the Disabled list at the end of the 2014 season. If Peavy accepts his option in 2015, he will make $15 million.

Peavy’s 2013 season numbers.

  • 144.2 IP, 130 H, 70 R (67 ER), 36 BB, 121 SO & 20 HR
  • BAA .230, ERA 4.17 & WHIP 1.15
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.09 H, 2.24 BB, 7.53 K, 1.24 HR. K/BB is 3.36
  • GRADE: 70.47% (C)
  • Rates: 22.03% H, 11.86% R, 6.10% BB, 20.51% K, 3.39% HR

Joe Kelly has been more of a bullpen pitcher than an actual starter this season. The Cardinals were known to start rookies this season due to injuries of: Jake Westbrook, Jaime García and Chris Carpenter. Cardinals are deep in pitching and Kelly comes in as a versatile pitcher, something MLB teams look for in pitchers. Here are Kelly’s 2013 numbers.

  • 124 IP, 276 H, 96 R (89 ER), 90 BB, 227 SO & 23 HR
  • BAA .250, ERA 2.69 & 1.35 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 9 H, 3.19 BB, 5.73 K, 0.73 HR. K/BB is 1.8
  • GRADE: 77.55% (C)
  • Rates: 23.31% H, 7.89% R, 8.27% BB, 14.85% K, 1.88% HR

Game 3

Prediction:

Jake Peavy: 4 IP, 7 H, 6 R, 2 BB, & SO

Joe Kelly: 4.2 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 5 SO & HR

Which offense bat(s) should Peavy and Kelly be concerned for?

  • Peavy: Carlos Beltrán and Matt Holliday
  • Kelly: Jacoby Ellsbury, Shane Victorino, Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz, Mike Napoli, Jonny Gomes and Stephen Drew

PICK: Boston Win Game 3

Busch Stadium

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