ALCS Game 5 (Detroit v Boston)

Red Sox-TigersJim Leyland decided to change the lineups. At the end of Game 4, it paid off. The Red Sox and Tigers are now playing in a best of 3 series. Detroit took advantage of Jake Peavy’s bad pitch locations and beating the Red Sox with a score of 7 to 3.

The Series rotations as of now.

Today: Jon Lester v Anibal Sanchez

Saturday: Max Scherzer v Clay Buchholz

Sunday: Justin Verlander v John Lackey (if necessary)

Time to look back at our Game 4 numbers.

Jake Peavy

Peavy did not pitch at Comerica Park this season. The career numbers at Comerica.

  • 34.2 IP, 30 H, 18 R (16 ER), 9 BB, 32 SO & 4 HR
  • BAA .224, ERA 4.15 & 1.13 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.79 H, 2.34 BB, 8.31 K, 1.04 HR. K/BB IS 3.56.
  • GRADE: 70.67% (C)
  • Rates: 20.98% H, 12.59% R, 6.29% BB, 22.38% K, 2.80% HR

Peavy last night.

  • 3 IP, 5 H, 7 ER, 3 BB & SO
  • BAA .357, ERA 21.00 & WHIP 2.67
  • Per 9 numbers: 15 H, 9 BB, 3 K. K/BB is 0.33.
  • GRADE: -31.48% (F) consider all negative numbers 0.00% (F)
  • Rates: 29.41% H, 41.18% R, 17.65% BB, 5.88% K

Peavy was mediocre and his postseason numbers shows the indication that he is not clutch.

RED SOX POSTSEASON REPORT CARD:

JON LESTER: 82.61% (B) (Division)/85.96% (B) (League Championship)

JOHN LACKEY: 52.08% (F) (Division)/96.67% (A) (League Championship)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ: 65.74% (D) (Division)/48.04% (F) (League Championship)

JAKE PEAVY: 86.27% (B) (Division)/-31.48% (F) (League Championship)

BULLPEN: 86.36% (B) (Division)/ 94.80% (A) (League Championship)

Doug Fister

Fister has faced the Red Sox at Comerica Park. That game.

  • 3.1 IP, 11 H, 6 ER, BB & HR
  • BAA .524, ERA 16.20 & WHIP 3.60
  • Per 9 numbers: 29.7 H, 2.7 BB, 2.7 HR.
  • GRADE: -10.00% (F), basically all negative grades end up being a 0.00% (F)
  • Rates: 52.38% H, 28.57% R, 4.76% BB & HR

Fister last night.

  • 6 IP, 8 H, ER, BB & 7 SO
  • BAA .308, ERA 1.50 & WHIP 1.50
  • Per 9 numbers: 12 H, 1.5 BB, 10.5 K. K/BB is 7.00
  • GRADE: 83.33% (B)
  • Rates: 29.63% H, 3.70% R & BB, 25.93% K

TIGERS POSTSEASON REPORT CARD:

MAX SCHERZER: 77.16% (C) (Division)/89.68% (B) (League Championship)

JUSTIN VERLANDER: 97.04% (A) (Division)/90.28% (A) (League Championship)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ: 29.49% (F) (Division)/94.44% (A) (League Championship)

DOUG FISTER: 67.59% (D) (Division)/83.33% (B) (League Championship)

BULLPEN: 80.48% (B) (Division)/54.86% (F) (League Championship)

Jon Lester

Jon Lester returns for another appearance in the 2013 ALCS. Lester pitched a decent game, but his offense did not support his cause for a win.

Lester’s Game 1 numbers

  • 6.1 IP, 6 H, ER, BB & 4 SO
  • BAA .240, ERA 1.42 & WHIP 1.11
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.53 H, 1.42 BB, 5.68 K. K/BB is 4.00
  • GRADE: 85.96% (B)
  • Rates: 22.22% H, 3.70% R & BB, 14.81% K

Lester’s 2013 Postseason numbers

  • 14 IP, 9 H, 3 ER, 4 BB, 11 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .176, ERA 1.93 & WHIP 0.93
  • Per 9 numbers: 5.79 H, 2.57 BB, 7.07 K, 1.29 HR. K/BB is 2.75
  • GRADE: 84.13% (B)
  • Rates: 16.07% H, 5.36% R, 7.14% BB, 19.64% K, 3.57% HR

Lester has pitched at Comerica Park three times in his career. The career numbers.

  • 19.2 IP, 19 H, 10 ER, 10 BB, 17 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .244, ERA 4.58 & WHIP 1.47
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.69 H, 4.58 BB, 7.78 K, 0.92 HR. K/BB is 1.70
  • GRADE: 66.38% (D)
  • Rates: 22.89% H, 12.05% R & BB, 20.48% K, 2.41% HR

Lester has pitched at Comerica Park this 2013 season. That game.

  • 5.2 IP, 9 H, 5 ER, 3 BB, 3 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .346, ERA 7.94 & WHIP 2.12
  • Per 9 numbers: 14.29 H, 4.76 BB & K, 3.18 HR. K/BB is 1.00
  • GRADE: 44.12% (F)
  • Rates: 33.33% H, 18.52% R, 11.11% BB & K, 7.41% R

Anibal Sanchez

Anibal Sanchez returns for another LCS game. Sanchez left the game with a no-hitter in the 6th, a high pitch count led to an early exit.

Sanchez’s Game 1 numbers.

  • 6 IP, 6 BB & 12 SO
  • WHIP 1.00
  • Per 9 numbers: 9 BB, 18 SO. K/BB is 2.00
  • GRADE: 94.44% (A)
  • Rates: 24% BB, 48% K

Sanchez had a good Game 1, but what about his 2013 Postseason numbers.

  • 10.1 IP, 8 H, 6 R (5 ER), 8 BB, 18 SO & 3 HR
  • BAA .205, ERA 4.35 & WHIP 1.55
  • Per 9 numbers: 6.97 H & BB, 15.68 K, 2.61 HR. K/BB is 2.25
  • GRADE: 67.20% (D)
  • Rates: 16.33% H & BB, 12.24% R, 36.73% K, 6.12% HR

Sanchez has pitched 14 games in Comerica Park in his Career. The Career numbers for Sanchez.

  • 93.1 IP, 76 H, 29 R (28 ER), 25 BB, 110 SO & 4 HR
  • BAA .213, ERA 2.70 & WHIP 1.08
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.33 H, 2.41 BB, 10.61 K, 0.39 HR. K/BB is 4.40
  • GRADE: 78.99% (C)
  • Rates: 20.11% H, 7.67% R, 6.61% BB, 29.10% K, 1.06% HR

Sanchez did not face the Boston Red Sox in the 2013 season at Comerica Park.

Which pitcher has the EDGE in tonight’s game?

  • Jon Lester: 
  • Anibal Sanchez: Hits, Runs, Walks, Strikouts and Home runs

Jon Lester had another year where he increased certain values. Those categories being: Wins, ERA drop, Innings Pitched, drop in Hits, drop in Runs and Earned runs, drop in Home runs, Strikeouts. The 2013 numbers.

  • 213.1 IP, 209 H, 94 R (89 ER), 67 BB, 177 SO & 19 HR
  • BAA .246, ERA 3.75 & WHIP 1.29
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.82 H, 2.83 BB, 7.47 K, 0.80 HR. K/BB is 2.64.
  • GRADE: 71.95% (C)
  • Rates: 23.15% H, 10.41% R, 7.42% BB, 19.60% K, 2.10% HR

Lester will be hitting 30 years old in 2014. This is Lester’s last year in his 5 year $29.75 million contract. In 2014, the Red Sox gave him a $13 million team option and/or a $250,000 contract buyout. Lester can void option if player is either 1st or 2nd in Cy Young from 2009-2013. Lester finished 4th in Cy Young voting in 2010.

Anibal Sanchez came into Detroit with a trade done by the Marlins. Sanchez and teammate Omar Infante were traded to Detroit. After the World Series, Sanchez granted free agency. Two months later, Sanchez signed a 5 year $88 million contract with a team option in 2018.

The 2013 season numbers for Sanchez

  • 182 IP, 156 H, 56 R (52 ER), 54 BB, 202 SO & 19 HR
  • BAA .222, ERA 2.57 & WHIP 1.15
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.71 H, 2.67 BB, 9.99 K, 0.45 HR. K/BB is 3.74
  • GRADE: 79.30% (C)
  • Rates:  20.91% H, 7.51% R, 7.24% BB, 27.08% K, 1.21% HR

ALCS GAME 5 PREVIEW

Lester-Sánchez

Prediction:

Jon Lester: 5 IP, 9 H, 2 2B, HR, 3 R, 3 BB & 4 SO

Anibal Sánchez: 6.1 IP, 5 H, 2B, HR, 3 R, 3 BB & 6 SO

Which offense bat(s) should Lester and Sánchez be concerned for?

  • Lester: Torii Hunter, Miguel Cabrera, Victor Martinez, Jhonny Peralta & Alex Avila
  • Sánchez: David Ortiz & Jonny Gomes

PICK: Detroit, will go for the Clinch on Saturday

Comerica Park

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