NLCS Game 1 (St. Louis v Los Angeles Dodgers)

Dodgers-Cardinals

Nine NLDS games, and this is our 2013 NLCS matchup.

Here is how the Los Angeles Dodgers and St. Louis Cardinals managed to get to the NLCS.

The Los Angeles Dodgers–managed by Don Mattingly–started their playoffs in Atlanta, in front of tomahawk chop Braves fans. As the comeback team of the year, was in last place, end up being division champs, they didn’t need much of a comeback in the NLDS. Game 1 was a beauty, Clayton Kershaw pitched and delivered a quality starts, something that he is accustomed to doing in Major League Baseball, striking out 12 batters in 7 innings. As for Game 2, a choke by the Dodgers bullpen. Hanley Ramírez was providing the offense in Game 2, but it wasn’t enough to win two games in Atlanta. On to Game 3, Ramírez and teammates put offense in this series and blew out the Braves, 13-6, that was Hyun-jin Ryu’s first postseason start, it was shaky. The last game in the DS, Game 4. Clayton Kershaw was brought in to pitch on short rest, Kershaw pitched 6 innings. As for that offense from Game 3, Juan Uribe surprised Braves RP David Carpenter. Uribe was going for the sac bunt to move Yasiel Puig to third, but he had other plans, Uribe homered to make it 4-3 Dodgers and Kenley Jansen closed the 9th inning for the Dodgers clinch and first NLCS since 2009.

The St. Louis Cardinals-managed by Mike Matheny-started their playoffs in the friendly confines of home. St. Louis has had a good reputation of being a contender to play in the NLCS, playing in 7 NLCS’ since 2000. The Cardinals chosed Adam Wainwright to start the NLDS opener, and it was a good choice. Wainwright and his teammates managed to pull an offensive game on A.J. Burnett, winning 9-1. The offense highlight for the Cardinals was Carlos Beltrán hitting a 3 run home run and tying Babe Ruth for postseason home runs with 15. Game 2, Cardinals did not repeat the offense, the Pirates did that instead. The Pirates put rookie Gerrit Cole in to face the Cardinals, first time and burned Lance Lynn, who has a good record at Busch Stadium. The Pirates won 7-1 and evened the series to bring postseason baseball back to PNC park. After hosting a wild-card game, the BUC nation brought those same chants to these Game 3 and 4s, chanting a Cardinals pitchers name throughout the time the Pirates were batting, it only worked for 1 game.  The Pirates won Game 3, Cardinals won Game 4. Game 3 was highlighted for Carlos Beltrán hitting another home run, passing Babe Ruth on the all time list, Ruth was in 8th place. After Beltrán’s home run, Pedro Alvarez saved the Pirates with a single that brought in two runs, which led to a Pirates win and score of 5-3. On to Game 4, Cardinals put Michael Wacha on the mound, he nearly duplicated his no-hitter effort from two weeks ago against the Washington Nationals, he only allowed 1 hit and run, all done by Pedro Alvarez and the Cardinals managed to win this Game 4 with a Matt Holliday home run in the sixth inning. Game 5, Cardinals bring back Adam Wainwright to pitch against the Pirates and nearly repeated his pitching performance. Wainwright pitched a complete game and only allowed a run, his offense did exactly the same thing. The Cardinals won Game 5 with a score of 6-1. The Cardinals are in their 8th NLCS since 2000, they have won 2 World Series and won an NL pennant in that span.

Break down the lineups:

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Starting Pitchers: Zack Grienke, Clayton Kershaw and Hyun-jin Ryu
  • Catcher: A.J. Ellis
  • First Base: Adrian Gonzalez
  • Second Base: Mark Ellis
  • Third Base: Juan Uribe
  • Shortstop: Hanley Ramirez
  • Left Field: Carl Crawford
  • Center Field: Skip Schumaker
  • Right Field: Yasiel Puig

St. Louis Cardinals

  • Pitchers: Lance Lynn, Joe Kelly, Adam Wainwright and Michael Wacha
  • Catcher: Yadier Molina
  • First Base: Matt Adams*
  • Second Base: Matt Carpenter
  • Third Base: David Freese
  • Shortstop: Pete Kozma/Daniel Descalso
  • Left Field: Matt Holliday
  • Center Field: Jon Jay
  • Right Field: Carlos Beltran

*Matt Adams is currently replacing Allen Craig, who is currently injured.

Game 1 Pitchers

Zack Greinke

Zack Greinke returns to the NLCS for the first time since 2011, facing the Cardinals a second time. Greinke’s NLCS numbers.

  • 11.2 IP, 15 H, 11 R (8 ER), HR, BB, 6 SO & HBP
  • BAA .300, ERA 6.17 & 1.63 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 11.57 H, 3.09 BB, 4.63 K, 0.77 HR. K/BB is 1.50.
  • GRADE: 56.67% (F)
  • Rates: 25.86% H, 18.97% R, 6.90% BB, 10.34% K, 1.72% HR

Greinke did indeed pitch in the 2013 Postseason, only one game. Greinke’s Game 2 NLDS numbers.

  • 6 IP, 4 H, 2 ER & 3 SO
  • BAA .182, ERA 3.00 & 0.67 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 6 H, 4.50 K.
  • GRADE: 79.63% (C)
  • Rates: 18.18% H, 9.09% R, 13.64% K

Greinke has been associated with playing the St. Louis Cardinals every single year in his career (2004-Present). Greinke has played with the Kansas City Royals (2004-10), Milwaukee Brewers (2011-12), Los Angeles Angels (2012) and Los Angeles Dodgers (2013). Greinke has played 5 games at Busch Stadium, here are his numbers.

  • 27.2 IP, 27 H, 7 ER, 7 BB, 19 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .245, ERA 2.28 & 1.23 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.78 H, 2.28 BB, 6.18 K, 0.65 HR. K/BB is 2.71
  • GRADE: 80.52% (B)
  • Rates: 23.28% H, 6.03% R & BB, 16.38% K,

Greinke has pitched at Busch Stadium once this season. The only start from Greinke..

  • 6.1 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, BB & 4 SO
  • BAA .296, ERA 2.84 & 1.42 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 11.37 H, 1.42 BB, 5.68 K. K/BB is 4
  • GRADE: 76.32% (C)
  • Rates: 27.59% H, 6.90% R, 3.45% BB, 13.79% K.

Greinke has a pitcher WAR of 3.9, which is 23.93% of Dodgers pitching.

DODGERS POSTSEASON REPORT CARD:

CLAYTON KERSHAW: 91.88% (A) (Division)

ZACK GREINKE: 79.63% (C) (Division)

HYUN-JIN RYU: 20.37% (F) (Division)

BULLPEN: 71.79% (C) (Division)

Joe Kelly

Joe Kelly is returning to pitch in the NLCS last year. Kelly faced the San Francisco Giants (who end up winning the LCS and WS).  Kelly’s NLCS numbers.

  • 4 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, 3 BB & 2 SO
  • BAA .333, ERA 4.50 & 2.25 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 13.50 H, 6.75 BB, 4.50 K. K/BB is 0.67
  • GRADE: 62.50% (D)
  • Rates: 25% H, 8.33 R & K, 12.50% BB

Kelly pitched in the NLDS against the Pirates. Here are the 2013 NLDS numbers.

  • 5.1 IP, 5 H, 3 R (2 ER), 4 BB & 5 SO
  • BAA .238, ERA 3.38 & 1.69 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.44 H, 6.75 BB, 8.44 K. K/BB is 1.25.
  • GRADE: 71.88% (C)
  • Rates: 20.83% H & K, 12.50% R, 16.67% BB

Kelly, playing at home, has pitched in 18 games at Busch Stadium this 2013 season, started in 8 of those games. Kelly’s 18 games at Busch Stadium.

  • 63 IP, 70 H, 25 R (23 ER), 21 BB, 38 SO & 6 HR.
  • BAA .270, ERA 3.29 & 1.44 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 10 H, 3 BB, 5.43 K, 0.86 HR. K/BB is 1.81.
  • GRADE: 73.72% (C)
  • Rates: 25.55% H, 9.12% R, 7.66% BB, 13.87% K, 2.19% HR.

Joe Kelly’s pitching WAR is 2.6, which is responsible for 12.04% of Cardinals pitching.

CARDINALS POSTSEASON REPORT CARD:

ADAM WAINWRIGHT: 89.58% (B) (Division)

LANCE LYNN: 29.49% (F) (Division)

JOE KELLY: 71.88% (C) (Division)

MICHAEL WACHA: 90.91% (A) (Division)

BULLPEN: 80.81% (B) (Division)

—————————————————

Which pitcher has the EDGE in tonight;s game?

  • Zack Greinke: Walks, Home runs
  • Joe Kelly: Hits, Runs, Strikeouts

Greinke has been a great free agent pickup for the Dodgers, signed him to a big contract of 6 yrs/$159 million. Greinke’s contract breakdown.

  • 2013: $19 M
  • 2014: $26 M
  • 2015: $25 M (May opt out of contract after 2015 season)
  • 2016: $26 M
  • 2017: $25 M
  • 2018: $26 M
  • Free Agent: 2019
  • Greinke has made $59.503 M in his career.

Greinke’s 2013 numbers.

  • 177.2 IP, 152 H, 54 R, 52 ER, 46 BB, 148 SO & 13 HR
  • BAA .222, ERA 2.63 & 1.11 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.7 H, 2.33 BB, 7.50 K. 0.66 HR. K/BB is 3.22.
  • GRADE: 79.17% (C)
  • Rates: 21.20% H, 7.53% R, 6.42% BB, 20.64% K, 1.81% HR

Joe Kelly has been more of a bullpen pitcher than an actual starter this season. The Cardinals were known to start rookies this season due to injuries of: Jake Westbrook, Jaime García and Chris Carpenter. Cardinals are deep in pitching and Kelly comes in as a versatile pitcher, something MLB teams look for in pitchers. Here are Kelly’s 2013 numbers.

  • 124 IP, 276 H, 96 R (89 ER), 90 BB, 227 SO & 23 HR
  • BAA .250, ERA 2.69 & 1.35 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 9 H, 3.19 BB, 5.73 K, 0.73 HR. K/BB is 1.8
  • GRADE: 77.55% (C)
  • Rates: 23.31% H, 7.89% R, 8.27% BB, 14.85% K, 1.88% HR

NLCS GAME 1 PREVIEW

Greinke-Kelly

Prediction:

Zack Greinke: 5.2 IP, 8 H, 2B, HR, 3 R, 2 BB & 3 SO

Joe Kelly: 6 IP, 7 H, 2 2B, HR, 3 R, BB, 3 SO & HBP

Which offense bat(s) should Greinke and Kelly be concerned for?

  • Greinke: Matt Carpenter, Matt Holliday and David Freese
  • Kelly: Carl Crawford, Adrian Gonzalez, Yasiel Puig and Andre Ethier

PICK: Dodgers in 5, win Games 1,2,4,5

Busch Stadium

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