NLDS Game 2 (St. Louis v Pittsburgh)

NLDS (STL-PIT)

After winning the first playoff in 20 years against the Cincinnati Reds, the Pittsburgh Pirates were introduced to a whole new series (NLDS), whole new ballpark (Busch Stadium), and a team (St. Louis Cardinals) that have been in these playoffs. The St. Louis Cardinals have given the Pirates a taste of their playoff magic, the Cardinals have been in 10 postseasons since 1992. Pittsburgh, welcome to playoff baseball, you don’t have that PNC magic like you did on Tuesday night.

Time to look back at the numbers before Game 1.

A.J. Burnett

A.J. Burnett, called it. Burnett before pitching yesterday had 16 innings pitched, 13.50 ERA and 2.313 WHIP at Busch Stadium. The 2013 numbers weren’t even better before Game 1. Burnett’s 2013 Numbers.

  • 3.1 IP, 19 H, 12 ER, 5 BB & 14 SO
  • BAA .322, ERA 8.10 & WHIP 1.80
  • Per 9 numbers, 12.83 H, 3.38 BB, 9.45 K. K/BB is 2.80.
  • GRADE: 45.00% (F)
  • Rates: 30.16% (H), 19.05% (R), 7.94% (BB), 22.22% (K)

Burnett last night.

  • 2 IP, 6 H, 6 H, 7 ER, 4 BB & HR
  • BAA .500, ERA 31.50 & WHIP 5.00
  • Per 9 numbers, 27.00 H, 18 BB & 4.50 HR
  • GRADE: -102.78% (F), consider all negative numbers 0.00% (F)
  • Rates: 37.50% H, 43.75% R, 25.00% BB, 0.00% K & 6.25% HR

Burnett had an awful start. I’m not sure if Gerrit Cole can deliver against Lance Lynn, but consider this unacceptable pitching line. If Pirates win a game, Burnett will be Game 4 starter.

Adam Wainwright

Now to Adam Wainwright. Wainwright had a B-E-A-U-TIFUL start, something that Bronson Arroyo and Homer Bailey of the Cincinnati Reds did in the 2012 NLDS, beautiful. His Busch stadium numbers were favorable with 121 IP, with a ERA 2.53 and WHIP 0.94. Wainwright’s 2013 Busch numbers.

  • 121 IP, 94 H, 36 R (34 ER), 30 BB, 114 SO & 7 HR
  • BAA .206, ERA 2.53 and WHIP 0.94
  • Per 9 numbers, H 6.99, BB 1.49, K 8.48, HR 0.52. K/BB is 5.70.
  • GRADE: 80.72% (B)
  • Rates: 20.30% H, 7.78% R, 4.32% BB, 24.62% K, 1.51% HR

Wainwright last night.

  • 7 IP, 3 H, ER, 9 SO & HR
  • BAA .125, ERA 1.29 and WHIP 0.43
  • Per 9 numbers, H 3.86, K 11.57 & HR 1.29
  • GRADE: 90.48% (A)
  • Rates: 12.50% H, 4.17% R, 37.50% K, 4.17% HR

Wainwright had the low BAA, ERA and WHIP. The Per 9 was even, Hits and home runs were higher than expected, but strikeouts were working for Wainwright. The Grade was phenomenal. If Cardinals win this division series, he can be huge for the NLCS, since Cardinals have homefield advantage.

REPORT CARD:

  • A.J. BURNETT: -102.78% (F)
  • ADAM WAINWRIGHT: 90.48% (A)
  • PIRATES BULLPEN: 94.44% (A)
  • CARDINALS BULLPEN: 97.22% (A)

On to this afternoon’s starters.

Gerrit Cole

Gerrit Cole, or as baseball-reference calls him “Cole Train”, is the 23 year old sensational from UCLA, he debuted on June 11 and has been an effective starter for the Pirates. Cole only has 117 innings of pitching this season, owns a 3.22 ERA and 1.168 WHIP. Cole will be making his debut against the Cardinals today, so  no numbers to report about Busch stadium, but I got all of his 2013 numbers.

  • 117.1 IP, 109 H, 43 R (42 ER), 28 BB, 100 SO & 7 HR
  • BAA .236, ERA 3.22 and WHIP 1.17
  • Per 9 numbers, 8.36 H, 2.15 BB, 7.67 K, 0.54 HR. K/BB is 3.57.
  • GRADE: 75.62% (C)
  • Rates: 23.24% H, 9.17% R, 5.97% BB, 21.32% K, 1.49% HR

Lance Lynn

Lance Lynn, returning once again for a third straight playoff appearance. Lynn’s numbers seems to hurt year after year, but he hopes to end his season slide and do well in the Division series. Lynn was only used once in the 2012 NLDS, pitching 3 games and it wasn’t promising, 1-1 with a 8.10 ERA & 1.80 WHIP.

For Lynn, Busch is a good stadium for him to pitch in. The short career of 39 games at Busch, he has an 18-8 record with a 2.97 ERA and 1.134 WHIP, complement that with a .211 BAA.

Lynn has pitched at Busch stadium 16 times and has a 9-3 record with a 2.82 ERA and 1.176 WHIP. The cumulative numbers at Busch stadium this season.

  • 102 IP, 86 H, 33 R (32 ER), 34 BB, 99 SO & 3 HR
  • BAA .219, ERA 2.82 and WHIP 1.18
  • Per 9 numbers, 7.59 H, 3 BB, 8.74 K, 0.26 HR. K/BB is 2.91
  • GRADE: 77.78% (C)
  • Rates: 20.77% H, 7.97% R, 8.21% BB, 23.91% K, 0.72% HR

Which pitcher has the Edge in this game?

GERRIT COLE: Walks

LANCE LYNN: Hits, Runs, Strikeouts and Home Runs

Gerrit Cole has been a good fill in for Clint Hurdle’s starting rotation, but putting a 23 year old in a game you want to swing momentum can be hard. Cole had an effective season of 117.1 IP and striking out 100. Taking the Grade of 75.62% is good for a rookie. Cole had a BAA of .219, ERA 3.22 and WHIP 1.17. The rates for Cole: 23.24% H, 9.17% R, 5.97% BB, 21.32% K, 1.49% HR.

Lynn has been a one-sided pitcher for the Cardinals, good at home, shaky on the road. Lynn was short of 200 innings, but had 200 strikeouts to complement the 194 innings that he pitched this season. Lynn had a BAA of .211, ERA 2.97 and WHIP 1.13. The Grade on Lynn’s season is a 77.21% (C). The rates for Lynn: 19.67% H, 8.20% R, 8.07% BB, 25.35% K, 1.26% HR.

Game Preview (Pittsburgh at St. Louis) Game 2

Cole-Lynn

Prediction:

Gerrit Cole: Debut against Cardinals lineup

Lance Lynn: 5.2 IP, 6 H, 2 2B, HR, 4 R, 3BB, 6 SO & HBP

Which offense players will Cole and Lynn be concerned for?

  • Gerrit Cole: Debut against Cardinals Lineup
  • Lance Lynn:

PICK: Cardinals win and go for sweep in Pittsburgh

Busch Stadium

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