Week 9 Picks

Thursday, October 31

  • Cincinnati at Miami (825 NFLN)/Cincinnati 28-24

Sunday, November 3

  • Atlanta at Carolina (100 FOX)/Carolina 17-10
  • Minnesota at Dallas (100 FOX)/Dallas 21-20
  • New Orleans at New York Jets (100 FOX)/New Orleans 24-20
  • Tennessee at St. Louis (100 CBS)/Tennessee 24-21
  • Kansas City at Buffalo (100 CBS)/Kansas City 30-20
  • San Diego at Washington (100 CBS)/San Diego 24-20
  • Philadelphia at Oakland (405 FOX)/Philadelphia 21-14
  • Tampa Bay at Seattle (405 FOX)/Seattle 28-7
  • Baltimore at Cleveland (425 CBS)/Baltimore 21-20
  • Pittsburgh at New England (425 CBS)/New England 27-24
  • Indianapolis at Houston (830 NBC)/Indianapolis 30-20

Monday, November 4th

  • Chicago at Green Bay (840 ESPN)/Green Bay 28-24

OVER/UNDER (80-38-3) Net Pt Value (1,099)

SPREAD (68-53)

World Series Game 6 (Boston v St. Louis)

RedSox-Cardinals

It all comes down to this. Two games, one team thinking clinch, another thinking Game 7.  The fate of two right shoulders will determine who wins Game 6. Those shoulders being John Lackey and Michael Wacha.

The Scoring Plays from Game 5

1ST INNING

  • David Ortiz doubled to rightfield, Dustin Pedroia scored from second.
  • RED SOX 1-0

4TH INNING

  • Matt Holliday homered to centerfield (423 feet)
  • TIED 1-1

7TH INNING

  • David Ross hit a ground rule double to leftfield, Xander Bogaerts scored from second, Stephen to third on GRD from first.
  • Jacoby Ellsbury singled to center, Stephen Drew scored from third, David Ross was thrown out at home by Yadier Molina.
  • RED SOX 3-1

Composite Score for World Series, Red Sox 21, Cardinals 13

Recap of Game 5 Pitchers

Jon Lester

Lester does not get much attention as a pitcher throughout the season. His story and baseball is great, suffering from Lymphoma disease, he had his treatment and made a comeback. Ever since his treatment, he has been Boston’s Ace for the past 7 seasons.

Game 5 numbers.

  • 7.2 IP, 4 H, ER, 7 SO & HR
  • BAA .148, ERA 1.17 & WHIP 0.52
  • Per 9 numbers: 4.7 H, 8.22 K, 1.17 HR.
  • GRADE: 90.58% (A)
  • Rates: 15.38% H, 3.85% R, 26.92% K, 3.85% HR

2013 World Series Numbers.

  • 15.1 IP, 9 H, ER, BB, 15 SO & HR
  • BAA .164, ERA 0.59 & WHIP 0.65
  • Per 9 numbers: 5.28 H, 0.59 BB, 8.80, 0.59 HR. K/BB is 15.00
  • GRADE: 93.12% (A)
  • Rates: 16.67% H, 1.85% R,BB & HR, 27.78% K

Career World Series Numbers.

  • 21 IP, 12 H, ER, 4 BB, 18 SO & HR
  • BAA .160, ERA 0.43 & WHIP 0.76
  • Per 9 numbers: 5.14 H, 1.71 BB, 7.71 K, 0.43 HR. K/BB is 4.50
  • GRADE: 93.39% (A)
  • Rates: 15.58% H, 1.30% R & HR, 5.19% BB, 23.38% K

The Final 2013 Postseason numbers.

  • 34.2 IP, 25 H, 6 ER, 8 BB, 29 SO & 3 HR
  • BAA .194, ERA 1.56 & WHIP 0.95
  • Per 9 numbers: 6.49 H, 2.08 BB, 7.53 K, 0.78 HR. K/BB is 3.63
  • GRADE: 86.06% (B)
  • Rates: 18.66% H, 4.48% R, 5.97% BB, 21.64% K, 2.24% HR

Lester’s Game 5 Prediction: 7.2 IP, 5 H, R, 2 BB & 5 K

RED SOX POSTSEASON REPORT CARD:

JON LESTER: 82.61% (B) (ALDS)/79.05% (C) (LCS)/93.12% (A) (WS)

JOHN LACKEY: 52.08% (F) (ALDS)/96.67% (A) (LCS)/74.24% (C) (WS)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ: 65.74% (D) (ALDS)/59.90% (F) (LCS)/91.67% (A) (WS)

JAKE PEAVY: 86.27% (B) (ALDS)/-31.48% (F) (LCS)/65.28% (D) (WS)

BULLPEN: 86.36% (B) (ALDS)/ 92.69% (A) (LCS)/77.17% (C) (WS) Adam Wainwright

Wainwright did everything he wanted in Game 5, except for one thing, David Ross beat his curveball, a good curveball in the baseball world. Wainwright suffered his first home loss at Busch Stadium in this postseason. Wainwright played 2 games against Pittsburgh at Busch, won both. Wainwright did lose on the road, at Los Angeles and Game 1. This is Wainwright’s first loss in 5 games.

Game 5 numbers.

  • 7 IP, 8 H, 3 ER, BB & 10 SO
  • BAA .276, ERA 3.86 & WHIP 1.29
  • Per 9 numbers: 10.29 H, 1.29 BB, 12.86 K. K/BB is 10.00
  • GRADE: 71.43% (C)
  • Rates: 28.57% H, 10.71% R, 3.57% BB, 35.71% K

2013 World Series Numbers.

  • 12 IP, 14 H, 8 R (6 ER), 2 BB, 14 SO
  • BAA .280, ERA 4.50 & WHIP 1.33
  • Per 9 numbers: 10.50 H, 1.50 BB, 10.50 K. K/BB is 7.00
  • GRADE: 67.59% (D)
  • Rates: 26.92% H, 15.38% R, 3.85% BB, 26.92% K

Career World Series Numbers.

  • 17 IP, 12 H, 3 ER, BB, 14 SO & HR
  • BAA .190, ERA 1.59 & WHIP 0.76
  • Per 9 numbers: 6.35 H, 0.53 BB, 7.41 K, 0.53. K/BB is 14.00
  • GRADE: 86.93% (B)
  • Rates: 19.05% H, 4.76% R, 1.59% BB, 22.22% K, 1.59% HR

Final 2013 Postseason Numbers.

  • 35 IP, 31 H, 12 R (10 ER), 3 BB, 34 SO & HR
  • BAA .190, ERA 2.57 & WHIP 0.97
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.97 H, 0.77 BB, 8.74 K, 0.26 HR. K/BB is 11.33
  • GRADE: 80.32% (B)
  • Rates: 22.96% H, 8.89% R, 2.22% BB, 25.19% K, 0.74% HR

Wainwright’s Game 5 Prediction: 7.1 IP, 6 H, 2 R, BB & 6 K

CARDINALS POSTSEASON REPORT CARD

ADAM WAINWRIGHT: 89.58% (B) (NLDS)/80.95% (B) (LCS)/ 67.59% (D) (WS)

LANCE LYNN: 29.49% (F) (NLDS)/78.03% (C) (LCS)/67.65% (D) (WS)

JOE KELLY: 71.88% (C) (NLDS)/65.15% (D) (LCS)/76.04% (C) (WS)

MICHAEL WACHA: 90.91% (A) (NLDS)/96.34% (A) (LCS)/76.85% (C) (WS)

BULLPEN: 80.81% (B) (NLDS)/88.01% (B) (LCS)/78.52% (C) (WS)

On to Game 6 starters.

Michael Wacha

Wacha’s right shoulder is now liable for forcing a Game 7 for the St. Louis Cardinals. Wacha has had a good postseason so far. The World Series win that he might of had claimed was just luck for Red Sox errors, Wacha won because of that.

Game 2 numbers.

  • 6 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 6 SO & HR
  • BAA .143, ERA 3.00 & WHIP 1.17
  • Per 9 numbers: 4.5 H, 6 BB, 9 K, 1.5 HR. K/BB is 1.50.
  • GRADE: 76.85% (C)
  • Rates: 12.50% H, 8.33% R, 16.67% BB, 25% K, 4.17% HR

2013 Postseason Numbers.

  • 27 IP, 11 H, 3 ER, 8 BB, 28 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .120, ERA 1.00 & WHIP 0.70
  • Per 9 numbers: 3.67 H, 2.67 BB, 9.33 K, 0.67 HR. K/BB is 3.50
  • GRADE: 90.53% (A)
  • Rates: 11.22% H, 3.06% R, 8.16% BB, 28.57% K, 2.04% HR

John Lackey

Lackey has himself a throwback of a Game. Game 6 is Boston’s chance to clinch, Lackey did bullpen work in the 2002 World Series to end the Giants in 7 games.

Game 2 numbers.

  • 6.1 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO
  • BAA .208, ERA 4.26 & WHIP 1.11
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.11 H, 2.84 BB, 8.53 K. K/BB is 3.00
  • GRADE: 70.18% (C)
  • Rates: 19.23% H, 11.54% R, 7.69% BB, 23.08% K

World Series Numbers.

  • 19.2 IP, 20 H, 9 ER, 7 BB & 13 SO
  • BAA .253, ERA 4.12 & WHIP 1.37
  • Per 9 numbers: 9.15 H, 3.20 BB, 5.95 K. K/BB is 1.86.
  • GRADE: 69.49% (D)
  • Rates: 23.81% H, 10.71% R, 8.33% BB, 15.48% K

2013 Postseason Numbers.

  • 19.1 IP, 16 H, 7 ER, 5 BB & 20 SO
  • BAA .216, ERA 3.26 & WHIP 1.09
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.45 H, 2.33 BB, 9.31 K. K/BB is 4.00
  • GRADE: 75.86% (C)
  • Rates: 20% H, 8.75% R, 6.25% BB, 25% K

——————

Which pitcher has the EDGE in tonight’s game?

  • Michael Wacha: Hits, Runs, Strikeouts
  • John Lackey: Walks, Home runs

Wacha, as a rookie, has done an impressive job for the Cardinals. Wacha came in late in the season, but here are his season’s numbers.

  • 64.2 IP, 52 H, 20 ER, 19 BB, 65 SO & 5 HR
  • BAA .211, ERA 2.78 & WHIP 1.10
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.24 H, 2.64 BB, 9.05 K, 0.7 HR. K/BB is 3.42.
  • GRADE: 78.44% (C)
  • Rates: 20% H, 7.69% R, 7.31% BB, 25% K, 1.92% HR

Lackey, who turned 35 last week, had recover from a 2012 injury. Lackey has been a part of Red Sox baseball since 2010. Lackey signed a 5 yr/$82.5 million with a vesting option in 2015. The 2013 numbers for John Lackey.

  • 189.1 IP, 179 H, 80 R (74 ER), 40 BB, 161 SO & 26 HR
  • BAA .240, ERA 3.52 & 1.16 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.51 H, 1.9 BB, 7.65 K, 1.24 HR. K/BB is 4.03
  • GRADE: 74.03% (C)
  • Rates: 23.01% H, 10.28% R, 5.14% BB, 20.69% K, 3.34% HR

WORLD SERIES GAME 6 PREVIEW

Game 2

Prediction:

Michael Wacha: 8 IP, R, 3 H, 2 BB, 8 SO & HR

John Lackey: 7 IP, 5 H, 2 R, 2 BB & 7 SO

PICK: The Boston Redsox will be World Champions. The Redsox will win their 8th championship as a franchise and have won 3 of the past 10 World Series.

TEAM MVP (if it ends): 

  • ST. LOUIS CARDINALS: Matt Holliday
  • BOSTON RED SOX: David Ortiz

Fenway Park

Bullpen pitching Reports

As the MLB offseason approaches this weekend, I’ve decided to break down the Cincinnati Reds 2013 season. This post is regarding bullpen pitchers. The Cincinnati Reds used 15 pitchers for bullpen.

BULLPEN:

  • TONY CINGRANI
  • AROLDIS CHAPMAN
  • ALFREDO SIMON
  • J.J. HOOVER
  • SAM LeCURE
  • MANNY PARRA
  • LOGAN ONDRUSEK
  • JONATHAN BROXTON
  • GREG REYNOLDS
  • CURTIS PARTCH
  • ZACH DUKE
  • SEAN MARSHALL
  • PEDRO VILLARREAL
  • NICK CHRISTIANI
  • JUSTIN FREEMAN

The Month to Month report. BOLD indicates high and low of Bullpen pitching in selected Months. CLICK ON PICTURE FOR ZOOM.

Bullpen pitching April Bullpen pitching May Bullpen pitching June Bullpen pitching July Bullpen pitching August Bullpen pitching September Bullpen pitching summary Bullpen pitching league

 

Source: baseball-reference

BAA formula: (H/(IP*3+H))

GRADE formula: 1-(ERA+WHIP)/18

GRADE SCALE:

  • 90-99.99 (A)
  • 80-89.99 (B)
  • 70-79.99 (C)
  • 60-69.99 (D)
  • 0-59.99 (F)

 

Starting Pitching Reports

As the MLB offseason approaches this weekend, I’ve decided to break down the Cincinnati Reds 2013 season. This post is regarding starting pitchers. The Reds used 8 starting pitchers this season.

STARTING PITCHERS:

  • HOMER BAILEY
  • MAT LATOS
  • BRONSON ARROYO
  • MIKE LEAKE
  • JOHNNY CUETO
  • TONY CINGRANI
  • GREG REYNOLDS
  • PEDRO VILLARREAL

The Month to Month report. BOLD indicates high and low of Starting Pitcher in selected Months. CLICK ON PICTURE FOR ZOOM.

Starting Pitching April Starting Pitching May Starting Pitching June Starting Pitching July Starting Pitching August Starting Pitching September Starting Pitching team-by-team Starting Pitching League

Source: baseball-reference

BAA formula: (H/(IP*3+H))

GRADE formula: 1-(ERA+WHIP)/18

GRADE SCALE:

  • 90-99.99 (A)
  • 80-89.99 (B)
  • 70-79.99 (C)
  • 60-69.99 (D)
  • 0-59.99 (F)

World Series Game 5 (St. Louis v Boston)

RedSox-Cardinals

First game I’ve been able to watch from start to finish since Sunday. As I’ve watched, the Cardinals have found lucky situations to win Games 2 and 3. St. Louis did started the scoring first, as for MLB.com’s Jennifer Langosch, she might want to fix that tweet about scoring first.

I know Jennifer Langosch is the one to represent the St. Louis Cardinals as the MLB beat writer for them, just thought that could be a jinx. As for the Cardinals scoring, here are all the scoring plays:

3RD INNING:

  • Carlos Beltrán singled to right center, Matt Carpenter scored from second.
  • CARDINALS 1-0

5TH INNING

  • Stephen Drew hit a sacrifice fly to left, David Ortiz scored from third.
  • TIED 1-1

6TH INNING

  • Jonny Gomes hits a 387 ft home run to left field, Dustin Pedroia and David Ortiz scored from second and first.
  • RED SOX 4-1

7TH INNING

  • Matt Carpenter singled to right field, Shane Robinson scored from second.
  • RED SOX 4-2

Composite Score for World Series, Red Sox 18, Cardinals 12

On to recap Game 4 Pitchers.

Clay Buchholz

As for an ailing Clay Buchholz, getting outs and little scoring was important for him. Buchholz pitched to no-decision, but his bullpen and Jonny Gomes helped the team lead to victory.

Game 4 numbers.

  • 4 IP, 3 H, R (O ER), 3 BB & 2 SO
  • BAA .200 & WHIP 1.50
  • Per 9 numbers: 6.75 H & BB, 4.50 K. K/BB is 0.67.
  • GRADE: 91.67% (A)
  • Rates: 16.67% H, 5.56% R, 16.67% BB, 11.11% K

Buchholz’s 2013 Postseason numbers.

  • 20.2 IP, 22 H, 11 R (10 ER), 8 BB, 17 SO & 3 HR
  • BAA .262, ERA 4.35 & WHIP 1.45
  • Per 9 numbers: 9.58 H, 3.48 BB, 7.4 K, 1.31 HR. K/BB is 2.13
  • GRADE: 67.74% (D)
  • Rates: 24.18% H, 12.09% R, 8.79% BB, 18.68% K, 3.30% HR

Buchholz’s Prediction Last Night: 5.2 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 2 BB, 6 SO & HR

RED SOX POSTSEASON REPORT CARD:

JON LESTER: 82.61% (B) (ALDS)/79.05% (C) (LCS)/95.65% (A) (WS)

JOHN LACKEY: 52.08% (F) (ALDS)/96.67% (A) (LCS)/74.24% (C) (WS)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ: 65.74% (D) (ALDS)/59.90% (F) (LCS)/91.67% (A) (WS)

JAKE PEAVY: 86.27% (B) (ALDS)/-31.48% (F) (LCS)/65.28% (D) (WS)

BULLPEN: 86.36% (B) (ALDS)/ 92.69% (A) (LCS)/75.00% (D) (WS)

Lance Lynn

Lance Lynn was doing things he did not want to do from the 2011 World Series. Unfortunately, it cost him the game, or Seth Maness did that to Lynn.

Game 4 Numbers.

  • 5.2 IP, 3 H, 3 ER, 3 BB & 5 SO
  • BAA .150, ERA 4.76 & WHIP 1.06
  • Per 9 numbers: 4.76 H & BB, 7.94 K. K/BB is 1.67
  • GRADE: 67.65% (D)
  • Rates: 13.64% H,R & BB, 22.73% K

World Series Numbers.

  • 11.1 IP, 10 H, 7 ER, 6 BB, 9 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .227, ERA 5.56 & WHIP 1.41
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.94 H, 4.76 BB, 7.15 K, 1.59 K. K/BB is 1.50
  • GRADE: 61.27% (D)
  • Rates: 20.83% H, 14.58% R, 12.50% BB, 18.75% K, 4.17% HR

2013 Postseason numbers.

  • 17.1 IP, 17 H, 10 ER, 10 BB, 17 SO & HR
  • BAA .246, ERA 5.19 & WHIP 1.56
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.83 H, 5.19 BB, 8.83 K, 0.52 HR. K/BB is 1.70
  • GRADE: 62.50% (D)
  • Rates: 22.08% H, 12.99% R & BB, 22.08% K, 1.30% HR

Lynn’s Prediction for Game 4: 5.1 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 3 BB & 6 SO

CARDINALS POSTSEASON REPORT CARD

ADAM WAINWRIGHT: 89.58% (B) (NLDS)/80.95% (B) (LCS)/ 62.22% (D) (WS)

LANCE LYNN: 29.49% (F) (NLDS)/78.03% (C) (LCS)/67.65% (D) (WS)

JOE KELLY: 71.88% (C) (NLDS)/65.15% (D) (LCS)/76.04% (C) (WS)

MICHAEL WACHA: 90.91% (A) (NLDS)/96.34% (A) (LCS)/76.85% (C) (WS)

BULLPEN: 80.81% (B) (NLDS)/88.01% (B) (LCS)/75.64% (C) (WS)

Jon Lester

Lester pitched a good game, Red Sox offense helped him. Lester’s Game 1 performance gives him confidence that he can do more in the World Series. This will be Lester’s 3rd World Series Game.

Game 1 Numbers.

  • 7.2 IP, 5 H, BB & 8 SO
  • BAA .179 & WHIP 0.78
  • Per 9 numbers: 5.87 H, 1.17 BB, 9.39 K. K/BB is 8.00
  • GRADE: 95.65% (A)
  • Rates: 17.86% H, 3.57% BB, 28.57% K

World Series Numbers.

  • 13.1 IP, 8 H, 4 BB & 11 SO
  • BAA .167 & WHIP 0.90
  • Per 9 numbers: 5.4 H, 2.7 BB, 7.43 K. K/BB is 2.75.
  • GRADE: 95% (A)
  • Rates: 15.69% H, 7.84% BB, 21.57% K

2013 Postseason Numbers.

  • 27 IP, 21 H, 5 ER, 8 BB, 22 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .206, ERA 1.67 & 1.07 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 7 H, 2.67 BB, 7.33 K, 0.67 HR. K/BB is 2.75.
  • GRADE: 84.77% (B)
  • Rates: 19.44% H, 4.63% R, 7.41% BB, 20.37% K, 1.85% HR

Adam Wainwright

Redemption might be the only thing that Wainwright only asks for in Game 5.

Wainwright’s Game 1 Numbers.

  • 5 IP, 6 H, 5 R (3 ER), BB & 4 SO
  • BAA .286, ERA 5.40 & WHIP 1.40
  • Per 9 numbers: 10.8 H, 1.8 BB, 7.2 K. K/BB is 4.00.
  • GRADE: 62.22% (D)
  • Rates: 25% H, 20.83% R, 4.17% BB, 16.67% K

World Series Numbers.

  • 8 IP, 8 H, 5 R (3 ER), 2 BB & 9 SO
  • BAA .250, ERA 3.38 & WHIP 1.25
  • Per 9 numbers: 9 H, 2.25 BB, 10.13 K. K/BB is 4.50
  • GRADE: 74.31% (C)
  • Rates: 22.22% H, 13.89% R, 5.56% BB, 25% K

2013 Postseason Numbers.

  • 28 IP, 23 H, 9 R (7 ER), 2 BB, 24 SO & HR
  • BAA .215, ERA 2.25 & WHIP 0.89
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.39 H, 0.64 BB, 7.71 K, 0.32 HR. K/BB is 12.00
  • GRADE: 82.54% (B)
  • Rates: 21.50% H, 8.41% R, 1.87% BB, 22.43% K, 0.93% HR

——————

Which pitcher has the EDGE in tonight’s game?

  • Adam Wainwright: Runs, Walks
  • Jon Lester: Hits, Runs, Strikeouts, Homeruns

Jon Lester had another year where he increased certain values. Those categories being: Wins, ERA drop, Innings Pitched, drop in Hits, drop in Runs and Earned runs, drop in Home runs, Strikeouts.

The 2013 numbers.

  • 213.1 IP, 209 H, 94 R (89 ER), 67 BB, 177 SO & 19 HR
  • BAA .246, ERA 3.75 & WHIP 1.29
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.82 H, 2.83 BB, 7.47 K, 0.80 HR. K/BB is 2.64.
  • GRADE: 71.95% (C)
  • Rates: 23.15% H, 10.41% R, 7.42% BB, 19.60% K, 2.10% HR

Lester will be hitting 30 years old in 2014. This is Lester’s last year in his 5 year $29.75 million contract. In 2014, the Red Sox gave him a $13 million team option and/or a $250,000 contract buyout. Lester can void option if player is either 1st or 2nd in Cy Young from 2009-2013. Lester finished 4th in Cy Young voting in 2010.

Adam Wainwright had all around improved his numbers this season. The categories that he had improved in are: Wins, ERA drop (whole point), Innings pitched, Runs, walks and strikeouts.

The 2013 numbers.

  • 241.2 IP, 223 H, 83 R (79 ER), 35 BB, 219 SO & 15 HR
  • BAA .235, ERA 2.94 & WHIP 1.07
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.3 H, 1.3 BB, 8.16 K, 0.56 HR. K/BB is 6.26.
  • GRADE: 77.72% (C)
  • Rates: 23.33% H, 8.68% R, 3.66% BB, 22.91% K, 1.57% HR

WORLD SERIES GAME 5 PREVIEW

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Game 1

Prediction:

Jon Lester: 7.2 IP, 5 H, R, 2 BB & 5 K

Adam Wainwright: 7.1 IP, 6 H, 2 R, BB & 6 K

PICK: Repeat, just like that one World Series in 2004. Red Sox will be playing for the Championship on Wednesday.

Busch Stadium

World Series Game 4 (St. Louis v Boston)

RedSox-Cardinals

I might have to remention this again, but the Cardinals got lucky again. I was unfortunately unable to watch Game 3 due to real life situations, but it looks like the Cardinals are getting lucky at the right time.

SCORING PLAYS:

1ST INNING:

  • Matt Holliday singled to right, Matt Carpenter scores from second
  • Yadier Molina singled to left, Matt Holliday scores from second
  • Cardinals 2-0

5TH INNING:

  • Mike Carp grounded into a fielder’s choice to second, Xander Bogaerts scored from third, Jarrod Saltamacchia out at second
  • Cardinals 2-1

6TH INNING:

  • Dustin Pedroia singled to left, Shane Victorino scored from third
  • Tied 2-2

7TH INNING

  • Matt Holliday doubled to left, Matt Carpenter and Carlos Beltrán scored from second and first, Holliday to third advancing on throw.
  • Cardinals 4-2

8TH INNING

  • Daniel Nava grounded into fielder’s choice to second, Jacoby Ellsbury scored from third.
  • Xander Bogaers singled to shallow center, Shane Victorino scored from third.
  • Tied 4-4

9TH INNING

  • Jon Jay grounded into fielder’s choice at Second, Yadier Molina out at home. Allen Craig scored on a interference error by Will Middlebrooks
  • Cardinals 5-4

Composite Score for the World Series, Red Sox 14, Cardinals 10

Looking back at the Game 3 Pitchers.

Jake Peavy

Jake Peavy last night.

  • 4 IP, 6 H, 2 ER, BB & 4 SO
  • BAA .333, ERA 4.50 & 1.75 WHIP
  • Per 9 Numbers: 13.5 H, 2.25 BB, 9 K. K/BB is 4.00
  • GRADE: 65.28% (D)

Peavy’s Postseason Numbers.

  • 12.2 IP, 16 H, 10 ER, 4 BB & 8 SO
  • BAA .296, ERA 7.11 & WHIP 1.58
  • Per 9 numbers: 11.37 H, 2.84 BB, 5.68 K. K/BB is 2.00
  • GRADE: 51.75% (F)
  • Rates: 28.57% H, 17.86% R, 7.14% BB, 14.29% K

Peavy’s Prediction Last night: 4 IP, 7 H, 6 R, 2 BB & SO

RED SOX POSTSEASON REPORT CARD:

JON LESTER: 82.61% (B) (ALDS)/79.05% (C) (LCS)/95.65% (A) (WS)

JOHN LACKEY: 52.08% (F) (ALDS)/96.67% (A) (LCS)/70.18% (C) (WS)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ: 65.74% (D) (ALDS)/59.90% (F) (LCS)

JAKE PEAVY: 86.27% (B) (ALDS)/-31.48% (F) (LCS)/65.28% (D) (WS)

BULLPEN: 86.36% (B) (ALDS)/ 92.69% (A) (LCS)/69.14% (F) (WS)

Joe Kelly

Kelly last night

  • 5.1 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, 3 BB & 6 SO
  • BAA .111, ERA 3.38 & WHIP 0.94
  • Per 9 numbers: 3.38 H, 5.06 BB, 10.13 K. K/BB is 2.00
  • GRADE: 76.04% (C)
  • Rates: 9.52% H & R, 14.29% BB, 28.57% K

Kelly’s 2013 Postseason numbers.

  • 16.2 IP, 20 H, 11 R (10 ER), 4 BB & 8 SO
  • BAA .286, ERA 5.40 & WHIP 1.74
  • Per 9 numbers: 10.80 H, 4.86 BB, 10.26 K, 1.08 HR. K/BB is 2.11
  • GRADE: 60.33% (F)
  • Rates: 21.51% H, 11.83% R, 9.68% BB, 20.43% K, 2.15% HR

Kelly’s Prediction last night: 4.2 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 5 SO & HR

CARDINALS POSTSEASON REPORT CARD

ADAM WAINWRIGHT: 89.58% (B) (NLDS)/80.95% (B) (LCS)/ 62.22% (D) (WS)

LANCE LYNN: 29.49% (F) (NLDS)/78.03% (C) (LCS)

JOE KELLY: 71.88% (C) (NLDS)/65.15% (D) (LCS)/76.04% (C) (WS)

MICHAEL WACHA: 90.91% (A) (NLDS)/96.34% (A) (LCS)/76.85% (C) (WS)

BULLPEN: 80.81% (B) (NLDS)/88.01% (B) (LCS)/74.71% (C) (WS)

Clay Buchholz

Clay Buchholz, will be making his first start in the World Series. This will be Buchholz’s first start against the Cardinals.

Buchholz’s 2013 Postseason Numbers.

  • 16.2 IP, 19 H, 10 ER, 5 BB, 15 SO & 3 HR
  • BAA .275, ERA 5.40 & WHIP 1.44
  • Per 9 numbers: 10.26 H, 2.70, 8.10 K, 1.62 HR. K/BB is 3.00
  • GRADE: 62% (D)
  • Rates: 26.03% H, 13.70% R, 6.85% BB, 20.55% K, 4.11% HR

Lance Lynn

Lance Lynn returns to the World Series tonight, will be making his first start after appearing in 5 of the 7 games in the 2011 World Series.

The World Series numbers.

  • 5.2 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 3 BB, 4 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .292, ERA 6.35 & WHIP 1.76
  • Per 9 numbers: 11.12 H, 4.76 BB, 6.35 K, 3.18 HR. K/BB is 1.33
  • GRADE: 54.90% (F)
  • Rates: 26.92% H, 15.38% R, 11.54% BB, 15.38% K, 7.69% HR

Lynn’s 2013 Postseason Numbers.

  • 11.2 IP, 14 H, 7 ER, 7 BB, 12 SO & HR
  • BAA .286, ERA 5.40 & WHIP 1.80
  • Per 9 numbers: 10.80 H, 5.40 BB, 9.26 K, 0.77 HR. K/BB is 1.71
  • GRADE: 60% (F)
  • Rates: 25.45% H, 12.73% R & BB, 21.82% K, 1.82% HR

——————

Which pitcher has the EDGE in tonight’s game?

  • Clay Buchholz: Walks
  • Lance Lynn: Hits, Runs, Strikeouts, Home Runs

Buchholz had a short season with the Boston Red Sox. He had appeared in 16 games this season. Buchholz is a 2 time all star and is with the Boston Red Sox up to 2017 (Team Option with Buyouts in 2016 and 2017). Buchholz will make $19.7 million in 2014 and 2015.

Buchholz’s 2013 numbers.

  • 108.1 IP, 75 H, 23 R (21 ER), 36 BB, 96 SO & 4 HR
  • BAA .188, ERA 1.74 & 1.02 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 6.23 H, 2.99 BB, 7.98 K, 0.33 HR. K/BB is 2.67.
  • GRADE: 84.62% (B)
  • Rates: 18.03% H, 5.53% R, 8.65% BB, 23.08% K, 0.96% HR

Lynn has been a one-sided pitcher for the Cardinals, good at home, shaky on the road. Lynn’s 2013 numbers this season.

  • 201.2 IP, 189 H, 92 R (89 ER), 76 BB, 198 SO & 14 HR
  • BAA .238, ERA 3.97 & WHIP 1.31
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.43 H, 3.39 BB, 8.84 SO, 0.6 HR. K/BB is 2.61
  • Rates: 22.08% H, 10.75% R, 8.88% BB, 23.13% K, 1.64% HR

WORLD SERIES GAME 4 PREVIEW

Game 4

Prediction:

Clay Buchholz: 5.2 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 2 BB, 6 SO & HR

Lance Lynn: 5.1 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 3 BB, 6 SO

PICK: The Dropkick Murphy’s will tell the Cardinals that this series will be “…SHIPPING UP TO BOSTON”. BOSTON WINS GAME 4

Busch Stadium

World Series Game 3 (St. Louis v Boston)

RedSox-Cardinals

Luck, the word that defined the St. Louis Cardinals night on Thursday. In the scoring situations the Cardinals presented on Thursday, Red Sox were expose by the explosiveness of what the Cardinals are good at, the Runners-in-Scoring-Position. Cardinals were only 1-3 in the Runners in Scoring position that night.

The Scoring Plays:

St. Louis Cardinals score first in the 4th inning to make it 1-0 with a Molina ground out to second, Matt Holliday scores from third. Holliday had a triple before Molina’s at-bat. I won’t call that situation luck, because Fenway Park is big and Holliday has decent speed for his age, no luck there, Holliday’s ball to Centerfield in Busch Stadium would be a double.

Boston Red Sox managed to score once in this game, it came off of Michael Wacha, who has given only 1 ER in the entire postseason. Wacha got Victorino on a ground out to third, but walked Dustin Pedroia, then Big Papi came in. David Ortiz did what was at the time a momentum changer, hitting a homerun to the Green Monster to make it 2-1. The sixth inning would end with a Mike Napoli strike out and Jonny Gomes ground out. Wacha walks to the dugout trailing and frustrated (FOX showed the frustration).

Now here is the Cardinals luck I mentioned. John Lackey came in for a 7th inning. Lackey got Allen Craig to strike out, the worse for Red Sox were to come. David Freese walked and Jon Jay hits a single for two baserunners. John Farrell went to the bullpen, Craig Breslow. Breslow did not allow an earned run in the postseason. The top of the lineup was Breslow’s goal, get two outs and end the inning. Daniel Descalso started the cause, Breslow walked him. Now Matt Carpenter was up, he has a beauty of an OBP of .392, but not as good as the two punch Choo-Votto for the Cincinnati Reds. Carpenter hits a SAC fly to left, Gomes tried to throw out the tying run, Saltalamacchia could not catch it, but Breslow was right behind Salty. Most usual baseball plays would end with that, but Breslow was going to be a hero and get Jon Jay, Breslow overthrew Xander Bogaerts, Jon Jay scored. The score at the time was 3-2, Breslow could of saved a run, dumb defense by Breslow. Next batter would be Carlos Beltrán, who was doubtful to play Game 2, hit a single to right to score Desclaso.

The final score was 4-2, but if Breslow did not throw to Bogaerts, it would of been a different outcome. Luck was on the Cardinals side for Game 2, I give Holliday partial luck for getting to third base, it is not easy to do a 3 bag hit in the MLB.

Revisit Game 2 Starting Pitchers.

Michael Wacha

Wacha keeps impressing us all in the postseason. Is it considered luck that the compensation pick from Albert Pujols would be this guy?

Game 2 numbers.

  • 6 IP, 3 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 6 SO & HR
  • BAA .143, ERA 3.00 & WHIP 1.17
  • Per 9 numbers: 4.5 H, 6 BB, 9 K, 1.5 HR. K/BB is 1.50.
  • GRADE: 76.85% (C)
  • Rates: 12.50% H, 8.33% R, 16.67% BB, 25% K, 4.17% HR

Wacha’s Game 2 Prediction: 6 IP, 3 H, BB, 8 K

CARDINALS POSTSEASON REPORT CARD

ADAM WAINWRIGHT: 89.58% (B) (NLDS)/80.95% (B) (LCS)/ 62.22% (D) (WS)

LANCE LYNN: 29.49% (F) (NLDS)/78.03% (C) (LCS)

JOE KELLY: 71.88% (C) (NLDS)/65.15% (D) (LCS)

MICHAEL WACHA: 90.91% (A) (NLDS)/96.34% (A) (LCS)/76.85% (C) (WS)

BULLPEN: 80.81% (B) (NLDS)/88.01% (B) (LCS)/80.56% (D) (WS)

John Lackey

Lackey had a good game as well as he made his return to the World Series, but the the inherited runners that Breslow allowed to score end up being a waste of an outing for Lackey.

Game 2 numbers.

  • 6.1 IP, 5 H, 3 ER, 2 BB, 6 SO
  • BAA .208, ERA 4.26 & WHIP 1.11
  • Per 9 numbers: 7.11 H, 2.84 BB, 8.53 K. K/BB is 3.00
  • GRADE: 70.18% (C)
  • Rates: 19.23% H, 11.54% R, 7.69% BB, 23.08% K

Lackey’s Game 2 Prediction: 6 IP, 6 H, 2 R, 2 BB, 8 K

RED SOX POSTSEASON REPORT CARD:

JON LESTER: 82.61% (B) (ALDS)/79.05% (C) (LCS)/95.65% (A) (WS)

JOHN LACKEY: 52.08% (F) (ALDS)/96.67% (A) (LCS)/70.18% (C) (WS)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ: 65.74% (D) (ALDS)/59.90% (F) (LCS)

JAKE PEAVY: 86.27% (B) (ALDS)/-31.48% (F) (LCS)

BULLPEN: 86.36% (B) (ALDS)/ 92.69% (A) (LCS)/68.06% (F) (WS)

Jake Peavy

Jake Peavy, a trade deadline pickup, will be making his first start in the World Series. Peavy has been in the postseason as a San Diego Padre and a Red Sox.

Peavy will be making his fourth start at Busch Stadium in his career, has pitched at the Old Busch as well. The Busch numbers.

  • 20 IP, 15 H, 5 ER, 4 BB, 18 SO & 5 HR
  • BAA .200, ERA 2.25 & WHIP 0.95
  • Per 9 numbers: 6.75 H, 1.8 BB, 8.10 K, 2.25 HR. K/BB is 4.5
  • GRADE: 82.22% (B)
  • Rates: 18.99% H, 6.33% R, 5.06% BB, 22.78% K, 6.33% HR

Peavy’s Postseason Numbers.

  • 8.2 IP, 10 H, 8 ER, 3 BB & 4 SO
  • BAA .278, ERA 8.31 & WHIP 1.50
  • Per 9 numbers: 10.38 H, 3.12 BB, 4.15 K. K/BB is 1.33
  • GRADE: 45.51% (F)
  • Rates: 27.03% H, 21.62% R, 8.11% BB, 10.81% K

Joe Kelly

Joe Kelly, will be making his debut in the World Series tonight.

Kelly’s 2013 Postseason numbers.

  • 11.1 IP, 18 H, 9 R (8 ER), 6 BB, 13 SO & 2 HR
  • BAA .346, ERA 6.35 & WHIP 2.12
  • Per 9 numbers: 14.29 H, 4.76 BB, 10.32 K, 1.59 HR. K/BB is 2.17
  • GRADE: 52.94% (F)
  • Rates: 25% H, 12.50% R, 8.33% BB, 18.06% K, 2.78% HR

——————

Which pitcher has the EDGE in tonight’s game?

  • Jake Peavy: Walks, Homeruns
  • Joe Kelly: Hits, Runs, Strikeouts

Peavy, who is 32 years, old, has more baseball playing days ahead of him. The current commitment he has with the Red Sox is $29 for 2013 and 2014. In 2015, he has a unique player option. They’re 2 options on the option, 400 IP in 2013 and 2014, including 190 in 2014 or is not on the disabled list at the end of the 2014 season. Peavy threw 144.2 innings in 2013 and throwing 255.1 innings (has thrown 5.2 innings in 2013 Postseason) is going to be a long haul. The best option for Peavy is to not be on the Disabled list at the end of the 2014 season. If Peavy accepts his option in 2015, he will make $15 million.

Peavy’s 2013 season numbers.

  • 144.2 IP, 130 H, 70 R (67 ER), 36 BB, 121 SO & 20 HR
  • BAA .230, ERA 4.17 & WHIP 1.15
  • Per 9 numbers: 8.09 H, 2.24 BB, 7.53 K, 1.24 HR. K/BB is 3.36
  • GRADE: 70.47% (C)
  • Rates: 22.03% H, 11.86% R, 6.10% BB, 20.51% K, 3.39% HR

Joe Kelly has been more of a bullpen pitcher than an actual starter this season. The Cardinals were known to start rookies this season due to injuries of: Jake Westbrook, Jaime García and Chris Carpenter. Cardinals are deep in pitching and Kelly comes in as a versatile pitcher, something MLB teams look for in pitchers. Here are Kelly’s 2013 numbers.

  • 124 IP, 276 H, 96 R (89 ER), 90 BB, 227 SO & 23 HR
  • BAA .250, ERA 2.69 & 1.35 WHIP
  • Per 9 numbers: 9 H, 3.19 BB, 5.73 K, 0.73 HR. K/BB is 1.8
  • GRADE: 77.55% (C)
  • Rates: 23.31% H, 7.89% R, 8.27% BB, 14.85% K, 1.88% HR

Game 3

Prediction:

Jake Peavy: 4 IP, 7 H, 6 R, 2 BB, & SO

Joe Kelly: 4.2 IP, 7 H, 3 R, 2 BB, 5 SO & HR

Which offense bat(s) should Peavy and Kelly be concerned for?

  • Peavy: Carlos Beltrán and Matt Holliday
  • Kelly: Jacoby Ellsbury, Shane Victorino, Dustin Pedroia, David Ortiz, Mike Napoli, Jonny Gomes and Stephen Drew

PICK: Boston Win Game 3

Busch Stadium