Ranking #24 (The Final 2013 Ranking)

Performance Grades

  • 1-6 A
  • 7-12 B
  • 13-18 C
  • 19-24 D
  • 25-30 F
  1. PITTSBURGH (5)
  2. BOSTON (1)
  3. KANSAS CITY (7)
  4. CLEVELAND (6)
  5. DETROIT (2)
  6. ST. LOUIS (4)
  7. TEXAS (9)
  8. LOS ANGELES DODGERS (3)
  9. CINCINNATI (8)
  10. ATLANTA (10)
  11. OAKLAND (12)
  12. BALTIMORE (11)
  13. WASHINGTON (14)
  14. LOS ANGELES ANGELS (13)
  15. ARIZONA (15)
  16. SAN FRANCISCO (16)
  17. NEW YORK YANKEES (18)
  18. TAMPA BAY (20)
  19. TORONTO (17)
  20. NEW YORK METS (19)
  21. PHILADELPHIA (21)
  22. SEATTLE (22)
  23. SAN DIEGO (23)
  24. MILWAUKEE (25)
  25. MINNESOTA (24)
  26. MIAMI (26)
  27. CHICAGO CUBS (27)
  28. COLORADO (28)
  29. CHICAGO WHITE SOX (29)
  30. HOUSTON (30)

Since the Big 162 is over, I got the all time high and lows for the team rankings.

HIGH

  • ARIZONA (3)
  • ATLANTA (1)
  • BALTIMORE (2)
  • BOSTON (1)
  • CHICAGO WHITE SOX (19)
  • CHICAGO CUBS (22)
  • CINCINNATI (5)
  • CLEVELAND (4)
  • COLORADO (6)
  • DETROIT (1)
  • HOUSTON (22)
  • KANSAS CITY (2)
  • LOS ANGELES ANGELS (10)
  • LOS ANGELES DODGERS (3)
  • MIAMI (25)
  • MILWAUKEE (16)
  • MINNESOTA (12)
  • NEW YORK METS (13)
  • NEW YORK YANKEES (7)
  • OAKLAND (4)
  • PHILADELPHIA (11)
  • PITTSBURGH (1)
  • SAN DIEGO (18)
  • SAN FRANCISCO (2)
  • SEATTLE (20)
  • ST. LOUIS (1)
  • TAMPA BAY (11)
  • TEXAS (1)
  • TORONTO (12)
  • WASHINGTON (1)

LOW

  • ARIZONA (15)
  • ATLANTA (14)
  • BALTIMORE (12)
  • BOSTON (19)
  • CHICAGO WHITE SOX (29)
  • CHICAGO CUBS (29)
  • CINCINNATI (23)
  • CLEVELAND (23)
  • COLORADO (29)
  • DETROIT (16)
  • HOUSTON (30)
  • KANSAS CITY (22)
  • LOS ANGELES ANGELS (30)
  • LOS ANGELES DODGERS (28)
  • MIAMI (30)
  • MILWAUKEE (30)
  • MINNESOTA (27)
  • NEW YORK METS (25)
  • NEW YORK YANKEES (18)
  • OAKLAND (17)
  • PHILADELPHIA (26)
  • PITTSBURGH (20)
  • SAN DIEGO (25)
  • SAN FRANCISCO (21)
  • SEATTLE (28)
  • ST. LOUIS (12)
  • TAMPA BAY (27)
  • TEXAS (9)
  • TORONTO (24)
  • WASHINGTON (20)

Game 161(Cincinnati v Pittsburgh)

The truth is for real, the Reds have to win today and tomorrow just to play at Great American Ballpark on Tuesday, “just to play”. Those words sounds like it is a one and done deal, no one wants to see the Reds success in October? Reds fans moaned and groaned about it last night, but why? just because the Reds have to win 2 out of 3, the fans believe every loss is treated like an NFL loss, those NFL fans have to moan and groan for a whole week while in Baseball, you’re back on the field in less than 24 hours. I feel the fans pain a bit, but cheer up and let it play out, your baseball teams that you choose to root for is either a postseason team or playing golf.

Now to dissect last night, bullpen is looking sharp and will be viable for Dusty Baker, I would suggest giving the ball to the bullpen if close game after 5th inning, but Baker has to be conscientious about it with only 25 players available to play and will likely supply 11 pitchers for the wildcard game. Anyone can support their option, but all of our words (sports writers) have no say in what Reds manager Dusty Baker and Baseball Op Walt Jocketty do, it is all on those two.

Grades from Game 160

STARTERS: Homer Bailey

  • 5 IP, 4 H. 4 ER, 4 BB, 3 SO & HR
  • .211 BAA. Per 9, 7.2 H, 7.2 BB, 5.4 SO & 1.8 HR. K/BB is 1.00
  • 7.20 ERA & 1.60 WHIP
  • GRADE: 51.11% (F)

BULLPEN: Alfredo Simón, J.J. Hoover & Logan Ondrusek

  • 4 IP, 2 H, BB & 6 SO
  • .143 BAA. Per 9 4.5 H, 2.25 BB & 9 SO. K/BB is 2.00
  • 0.00 ERA & 0.75 WHIP
  • GRADE: 95.83% (A)

BREAK IT DOWN NOW:

  • Reds pitcher Bronson Arroyo has faced the Pirates twice this 2013, while Pirates Pitcher Charlie Morton has faced the Reds once.
  • Bronson Arroyo’s numbers against the 2013 Pirates: 12 IP, 12 H, 4 ER, 5 BB, 6 SO & 2 HR. BAA is .250, ERA 3.00 and WHIP is 1.42. Arroyo’s first start was better than the second start.
  • Charlie Morton’s numbers against the 2013 Reds: 5.1 IP, 3 H & 2 SO. BAA is .158 & 0.56 WHIP.

Last thought before presenting prediction, don’t let player’s words or current slumps get you fired up. Player’s are humans and fans are humans, mistakes happen and no one wants them, so leave it behind.

Game Preview (Pittsburgh at Cincinnati) September 28th

Game 5

Prediction:

Charlie Morton: 6 IP, 7 H, 2B, HR, 3 R, 2 BB, 4 SO & HBP

Bronson Arroyo:  6.1 IP, 6 H, 2 2B, HR, 3 R, 2 BB & 4 SO

Game 160 (Cincinnati v Pittsburgh)

Well, the Reds are done losing to bad teams, and that is what cost them a chance to win the Central. As for now, the Reds are focused on two things, home game for wildcard and beating the Pirates. Tonight’s pitching brings us back to 52 Fridays ago, where both Homer Bailey and A.J. Burnett pitched perfectly, except one of them ended up with a no-hitter. The one with the no-hitter ended up being Bailey, and he ended up getting a 2nd no-hitter for the first no-hitter of the 2013 season. Now this Friday night game is a bigger deal, the Reds and Pirates are trying to win 2 out of 3 to claim the home game for the wildcard. The Reds can do a huge favor by beating the Pirates so the Cardinals can claim their division for the first time in 2009. By the looks of who is better, the Reds (no bias) are performing well against the above .500 clubs and it shows when it is played at Great American Ballpark.

Now to the New York Mets grades.

STARTERS: Johnny Cueto, Mike Leake and Mat Latos

  • 15.2 IP, 15 H, 6 R (5 ER), 5 BB, 14 SO & 2 HR
  • 3.45 ERA & 1.28 WHIP
  • Per 9, H 8.62, BB 2.87, K 8.04, HR 1.15. K/BB is 2.80
  • GRADE: 73.76% (D)

BULLPEN: Alfredo Simón, Aroldis Chapman, J.J. Hoover, Logan Ondrusek, Manny Parra, Sam LeCure, Sean Marshall and Zach Duke

  •  12.1 IP, 5 H, 2 BB & 12 SO
  • 0.00 ERA & 0.57 WHIP
  • Per 9, H 3.65, 1.46 BB & 8.76 K. K/BB is 6.00.
  • GRADE: 96.85% (A)

Grade Sheet:

Starters:

  • St. Louis Cardinals (85.06) (B) (9-2/9-5)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers (78.46) (C) (9-6/9-8)
  • Chicago Cubs (78.68) (C) (9-9/9-11)
  • Milwaukee Brewers (67.78) (D) (9/13-9/15)
  • Houston Astros (87.67) (B) (9-16/9-18)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates (65.00) (D) (9-20/9-22)
  • New York Mets (73.76) (C) (9/23-9/25)
  • September Average (76.63) (C)

Bullpen:

  • St. Louis Cardinals (89) (B) (9-2/9-5)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers (99.12) (A) (9-6/9-8)
  • Chicago Cubs (69.30) (D) (9-9/9-11)
  • Milwaukee Brewers (52.94) (F) (9/13-9/15)
  • Houston Astros (79.07) (C) (9/16-9/18)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates (90.97) (A) (9/20-9/22)
  • New York Mets (96.85) (A) (9/23-9/25)
  • September Average (82.46) (B)

Now to compare the Burnett and Bailey numbers at Great American Ballpark. A.J. Burnett has only pitched once in Cincinnati in 2013 (7/20), while Homer Bailey has pitched twice (7/21, 6/20). In Burnett’s only start in Cincinnati, his one start was better than Bailey’s two starts, but in averages, Bailey has a better grade than Burnett. The number lines.

A.J. Burnett: 5.2 IP, 10 H, 5 R (2 ER), 2 BB & 8 SO. 3.12 ERA & 2.12 WHIP. Per 9, H 15.88, BB 3.18, K 12.71. K/BB is 4.00. GRADE: 70.59% (C).

Homer Bailey: 12.1 IP, 13 H, 5 ER, BB, 20 SO & 2 HR. 3.65 ERA & 1.14 WHIP. Per 9, H 9.49, BB 0.73, K 14.59, HR 1.46. K/BB is 20.00. GRADE: 73.42% (C). The average start would be 6-6.1 IP, 6-7 H, 2-3 ER, 0-1 BB, 10 SO & HR.

Game Preview (Pittsburgh at Cincinnati) September 27

Game 4

Prediction:

A.J. Burnett: 6.1 IP, 6 H, 2B, 2 R, 2 BB & 6 SO

Homer Bailey: 6.1 IP, 5 H, 2B, HR, 3 R, 3 BB& 6 SO

Week 4 Picks

Thursday, September 26

  • San Francisco at St. Louis (825 NFLN)/St. Louis 13-7

Sunday, September 29

  • Baltimore at Buffalo (100 CBS)/Baltimore 14-10
  • Arizona at Tampa Bay (100 FOX)/Arizona 10-6
  • Pittsburgh at Minnesota (100 CBS)/Pittsburgh 9-7
  • New York Giants at Kansas City (100 FOX)/Kansas City 17-6
  • Indianapolis at Jacksonville (100 CBS)/Indianapolis 17-7
  • Seattle at Houston (100 FOX)/Houston 17-13
  • Cincinnati at Cleveland (100 CBS)/Cleveland 14-13
  • Chicago at Detroit 100 FOX)/Chicago 17-13
  • New York Jets at Tennessee (405 CBS)/Tennessee 14-13
  • Washington at Oakland (425 FOX)/Oakland 9-3
  • Philadelphia at Denver (425 FOX)/Denver 17-10
  • Dallas at San Diego (425 FOX)/San Diego 14-10
  • New England at Atlanta (830 NBC)/New England 19-6

Monday, September 30

  • Miami at New Orleans (840 ESPN)/Miami 20-New Orleans 17

OVER/UNDER (30-16-2) Net Pt Value (486)

SPREAD (30-18)

Game 159 (Cincinnati v New York Mets)

Two sides of pitching for Reds, the good and bad. The good news is that the Bullpen is sharp and ready to tackle the next 4 games, the bad news is that Mike Leake last potential start was bitter and cruel, just like his 2013 start. The bad start cost the Reds and must win 3 out of 4 games to claim homefield for wildcard and will need miracles from Washington and Chicago this week to win the division. I have faith in this team and that is why I LIKED Dusty Baker’s decision to pitch Mat Latos on regular rest, because if wild card game is around, Latos will be available to start, it seems Dusty is putting his trust on Latos to deliver. As for the playoff part, expect Latos to only pitch 5 innings today, same goes for Homer Bailey and Bronson Arroyo in the Pittsburgh Series.

The grades were two sided, Leake failed miserably and the Bullpen received an A for their performance last night.

STARTERS: Johnny Cueto and Mike Leake

  • 8.2 IP, 11 H. 6 R (5 ER), 3 BB, 7 SO & 2 HR
  • 5.19 ERA & 1.62 WHIP
  • 62.18% (D)

BULLPEN: Alfredo Simón, Aroldis Chapman, J.J. Hoover, Logan Ondrusek, Manny Parra, Sam LeCure, Sean Marshall and Zach Duke

  • 10.1 IP, 5 H, BB & 9 SO
  • 0.00 ERA & 0.58 WHIP
  • 96.77% (A)

Game Preview (New York Mets at Cincinnati) September 25th

Game 3

Prediction:

Daisuke Matsuzaka: 6.2 IP, 7 H, 2 HR, 4 R & 6 SO

Mat Latos: 6 IP, 9 H, 3 2B, 3B, 3 R, 6 SO & SF

Game 158 (Cincinnati v New York Mets)

Well, one thing is crossed off the checklist, but another one has to go in their favor. The Cincinnati Reds are going to another postseason and it is their third one in four years, impressive to say the least. I got tweets regarding last night’s game and what a postseason berth means for the Reds.

Now there isn’t much to report on today’s game, but now that the Reds are in and make Top 10 MLB teams of 2013, it all ends up where they will be after September 29th.

The Atlanta Braves are the frontrunners of the National League with a half game lead on Cardinals, Braves aren’t guaranteed homefield advantage because of the wild card situation. Now from looking at the homefield advantage, the Braves look at the Pirates and Reds first with a magic number of 4, once eliminated, Reds and Pirates can not claim homefield advantage throughout the playoffs, which is not a priority at the moment.

Now, if you’re the St. Louis Cardinals, you’re concerned. The Cardinals have a 2 game lead on the Reds and Pirates, but face a Washington Nationals team that is playing well for the month of September. It was unfortunate to see the Nationals out of October this year, but it doesn’t hurt them to play well against the Cardinals.

What about the Los Angeles Dodgers, they have their division title but it will depend on seeding, homefield advantage elimination number is 5, if they weren’t bad in the first two months of the season, this wouldn’t be much of a concern.

Now the National League won’t be settled for a while, as well as the American League, because seeding is important in the final series, which will be the likely factor. My American League favorite, Boston Red Sox, won’t have the homefield advantage locked up for a while, since their magic number is 5 with the Oakland Athletics being one of their concentrations.

Now on to the Grade Report from Last Night:

STARTER: Johnny Cueto

  • 7 IP, 3 H, 2 R (ER), 3 BB, 5 SO & HR
  • 1.29 ERA & 0.86 WHIP
  • GRADE: 88.10% (B)

BULLPEN: Aroldis Chapman, Manny Parra, Sam LeCure and Sean Marshall

  • 3 IP, 3 H & 4 SO
  • 0.00 ERA & 1.00 WHIP
  • GRADE: 94.44% (A)

Good grades all around from Game 157, here is to hoping that baserunning is in their advantage in today’s game.

Game Preview (New York Mets at Cincinnati) September 24

Game 2

Prediction:

Jonathan Niese: 6 IP, 6 H, 2B, HR, 4 R, 3 BB & 6 SO

Mike Leake: 6.1 IP, 6 H, 2B, R, 2 BB, 5 SO & HBP

Things to Consider:

  • Win and watch, both Pirates and Cardinals are playing in Central Time zone and play as fast and win, then watch your opponents.
  • Don’t feel down Washington Nationals, you had injuries that plagued your team, now can you plague the Cardinals for the Reds?
  • Cubs might of been “Cubbing” on the last play of the game, but Pittsburgh wanted to take their run back from the 1992 NLCS. Keep working Cubs, be a surprise.
  • Win and Cardinals and Pirates lose, a game behind Cardinals and a game ahead of Pirates, something to like, but it ain’t the result to see on September 29th.

Game 157 (Cincinnati v New York Mets)

Hello friends and here comes the last 6 games of the season, the Reds broke even on the road at 41-41, not bad because they were struggling early on the road at the beginning of the season. Why 82 road games? San Francisco series had 3 road games and the 1 home game to play, but statistically counts as a road game due to location. Now, on to recap the pitching grades for the Pirates series and what the September average looks like.

STARTERS: Mat Latos, Homer Bailey and Bronson Arroyo

  • 16.2 IP, 16 H, 11 R (9 ER), 8 BB, 7 SO & 5 HR
  • 4.86 ERA & 1.44 WHIP
  • Per 9, H 8.64, BB 4.32, K 3.78, HR 2.70. K/BB is 0.88
  • GRADE: 65.00% (D)

BULLPEN: Alfredo Simón, Aroldis Chapman, J.J. Hoover, Logan Ondrusek, Manny Parra and Sam LeCure

  •  8 IP, 2 H, ER, 2 BB & 8 SO
  • 1.13 ERA & 0.50 WHIP
  • Per 9, H 2.25, 2.25 BB & 9 K. K/BB is 4.00.
  • GRADE: 90.97% (A)

Grade Sheet:

Starters:

  • St. Louis Cardinals (85.06) (B) (9-2/9-5)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers (78.46) (C) (9-6/9-8)
  • Chicago Cubs (78.68) (C) (9-9/9-11)
  • Milwaukee Brewers (67.78) (D) (9/13-9/15)
  • Houston Astros (87.67) (B) (9-16/9-18)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates (65.00) (D) (9-20/9-22)
  • September Average (77.67) (C)

Bullpen:

  • St. Louis Cardinals (89) (B) (9-2/9-5)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers (99.12) (A) (9-6/9-8)
  • Chicago Cubs (69.30) (D) (9-9/9-11)
  • Milwaukee Brewers (52.94) (F) (9/13-9/15)
  • Houston Astros (79.07) (C) (9/16-9/18)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates (90.97) (A) (9/20-9/22)
  • September Average (80.63) (B)

As of now on the WordPress, I’m currently working on getting the other month’s averages and managed to get 1 month down. The April numbers, STARTERS graded a 75.65% (C) and the BULLPEN graded a 69.60% (D), the other four months (May, June, July and August) will be released next week in the regular season recap.

On to tonight’s game, we got a Former Red, Aaron Harang, who was DFA’d by the Seattle Mariners on August 26th, and then released on September 1st. Once Harang was released, the Mets signed him on to a minor league contract and immediately assigned to AAA-Las Vegas 51s. Now that September callups was on September 1st, he is now here presently playing again in the MLB and playing against the Reds a 2nd time.  Harang from 2006-10 was the Opening Day starter for the Cincinnati Reds, and will be facing counterpart Johnny Cueto, who has been claiming as Opening Day starter since 2011. As for Johnny Cueto, he will be making his 2nd start since coming off the DL. Cueto pitched 82 pitches to the Astros and will be look at pitching up to 100 pitches, if he is willing to pitch that much. This start will be Cueto’s last start of the season, if Dusty Baker uses the 6-man rotation of Cueto, Leake, Reynolds, Latos, Bailey and Arroyo. As of now, the Reds rotation is not set because they still have a chance to win the division by being only 2 games back, they could of been 1 game back if the Brewers won on Friday night, but you can’t wish for everything in baseball.

Game Preview (New York Mets at Cincinnati) September 23, 2013

Game 1

Prediction:

Aaron Harang: 6.1 IP, 7 H, 2B, HR, 4 R, BB & 4 SO

Johnny Cueto: 6 IP, 6 H, HR, 3 R, 2 BB, 5 SO & HBP

Things To Consider

  • Reds only 2 games back to Cardinals, to avoid tie breakers, must be 1 game ahead at end of season. If tied, the division tie breaker goes to St. Louis based on head to head record (11-8 St. Louis).
  • Cardinals and Nationals, Nationals have two games left of survival, but they can help the Reds out by winning 2 of three against Cardinals and hopefully if Reds sweep Mets, there would be a tie for first. As a baseball fan, let the game play out.
  • Pirates are playing the Cubs in Chicago, I don’t know if Cubs can be a spolier to Pirates, but they obviously did that against Reds this month, here is to hoping da baby bears do something this week against the Bucs.
  • Win, win out and see what happens. I’m stoked for this postseason and it has some good teams going, no disappointment for the 2013 Postseason.