The Hunger Games-Percentage

As noted in my “About Quinn Dumais” page, I am learning statistics and decided to practice it with the MLB and the 30 teams Winning percentage. The statistic used is standard deviation between percentage, the average winning percentage in the MLB is at .500, the standard deviation is set at .074. Now in a graph, about 60% of the teams (18 of 30), are balanced and within the winning percentage of .426 and .574.

Now what about those other 12 teams, those 12 being: New York Yankees (.586), Cleveland (.420), Minnesota (.407), Houston (.340), Oakland (.580), Texas (.580), Atlanta (.580), Washington (.605), Chicago Cubs (.377), Cincinnati (.599), Colorado (.395) and San Francisco (.580). There is something about these teams, 7 of them were in the playoffs and the other 5 weren’t.

These 12 teams are what I call “Out of Ordinary” or in box-n-whisker plot “Outliers”. So the bell curve will be different to say the least, 16.67% of it belongs to the 5 struggling teams (Cleveland, Minnesota, Houston, Chicago Cubs, and Colorado), the next 60% goes to the 18 teams that are postseason contenders, and the Magnificent 7 takes the remaining 23.33%. 

So, if you look at it, 18 teams were in dogfights last year trying to get a playoffs while the other 12 went their separate ways. I could use this stat once a month and see what the bell curve looks like.


Spring Training Guidelines

If everyone read a blog about the Los Angeles Angels and what it entails, it provides a starting pitcher stat line. If the Cincinnati Reds and its Spring Training opponent provide a batting lineup with its starting pitcher, I’ll analyze with what I have. The Spring Training games will not have the opening day lineup so every game is different. 

In other news, since February 22nd is the first day of baseball gameday activities, there is 248 days of baseball. 162 spent on a regular season game and the other 86 spent on days off, playoff games and the Spring Training, so you’ll be satisfied about 66% of the time. 


So, a few of my tweets got out there today about Joey Votto.

So I spent an hour of down time tweeting ridiculous things about Joey in order to beat Derek Jeter. More at

Setting New Standards

Welcome to the Southwest Ohio Conferece (SWOC), the inaugural season has taken place and now the records are set. 

This past weekend, I took a journey up to Oxford, Ohio this weekend to visit my sister and do fun things the night before a swim meet. The swim meet was brand new, but kept the old records from the deceased “FAVC”. If no one knows, I was a High School swimmer and set two school records, in the 50 Breastroke and 400 Freestyle Relay. 

The day started a little bit earlier for the SWOC Swim meet, the diving took place in the morning and all but one was from Talawanda, the other diver from Little Miami (Mitchell Beerse). 

Their were only 5 divers competing in the meet, 1 Sophomore, 1 junior and 3 Seniors. Expect the senior to win? Not quite. Mitchell Beerse, a junior, end up winning unaminously by 24.9 with a score of 218.75. It gave Little Miami boys the lead till the start of swimming at 6 PM.

To recap the Girls events, some improved and some need to improve for the sectionals taking place next in Mason.

The girls started their day with a 200 Freestyle swam by Paige Friedman (Junior), seeded at 2:28.50, improved her time by 2.83% and finished with a time of 2:24.42.

Next was the 200 Individual Medley, swam by Lauren Fredrick (Sophomore) and Emily Stewart (Junior), Stewart improved her time by a slight margin of 0.70% while Fredrick didn’t improve at -2.63%. 

50 Freestyle, swam by Kristen Garn (Junior) and Carly Dumais (Senior), both improved, Dumais (0.64%) slightly improved while Garn (3.79%) improved.

100 Butterfly, swam by Friedman, improved slightly by 0.92%

100 Freestyle, swam by Dumais, Megan Yancek and Garn, had one improvement and others not so improved. Dumais at (-3.52%), Garn at (-2.14%) but Yanchek improved with a (2.44%).

The 200 Freestyle Relay, improved big time, with a (4.84%)

100 Backstroke, swam by Yanchek, did not improve with a (-1.54%)

100 Breastroke, swam by Stewart and Fredrick, had one improved but one didn’t, Stewart improved by (1.51%) but Fredrick did not improved with a time of (-1.22%).

Finally for the Girls, the 400 Freestyle Relay, did not improve, with a percentage of (-2.59%). The Girls team finished 6th out of 7th place.

To the Boys, contest was close than expected.

Lucas Coyle (Senior), started out the day with the 200 Freestyle, he imporved with a (4.34%). 

The 50 Freestyle, was a battle, Jack German was top seed in the event, but only lost by .01 with a time of 22.58, he didn’t improve (-0.09) but is consistent when he starts swimming for a chance for State. Brandan Hoffman (-1.57%) (Senior), Sam Farmer (-1.83%) (Freshman) didn’t improve, but Nick Calleja (Sophomore) improved (1.52%), Hoffman and Farmer should be okay for sectionals. 

100 Freestyle, swam by Hoffman (-0.67%), Lucas Coyle (0.37%) and his brother Justin Coyle (5.36%) (Sophomore), were consistent but Justin improved and beat his brother in the heat by a mere .27 seconds. This would be Justin’s only individual event of the day, but did both relays.

200 Freestyle, did not improve (-5.02%), the time between from past events like the 100 Freestyle might have caused the burnout, should be ok for sectionals.

100 Backstroke, swam by Jack German, faced the SWOC swimmer of the year from Wilmington, Senior Josh Quallen, who committed to the University of Louisville. The margin of defeat was by +6 seconds but Jack finished 2nd in the event with a time of 58.43 (-1.06%).

The 100 Breastroke, swam by Sam Farmer and Nick Calleja, and Sam improved in the Breastroke (2.66%) while Calleja didn’t (-1.37%). 

For the final event of the night, the boys 400 Freestyle Relay, the boys finished in 4th place with a time of 3:58.28 (2.86%). The boys finished 6th out of 7th place with a score of 106.


  • Percentages are based on trend formula, all times are listed on